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The European Banking Authority has postponed stress tests until next year as supervisors look into how major banks classify and value assets. "Concerns remain on asset quality and forbearance, which need to be addressed," Chairman Andrea Enria said. "This is also a necessary precondition for the credibility of the next EU-wide stress test."- The International Monetary Fund has conducted a comprehensive analysis of monetary policy at central banks in Europe, Japan and the US, noting that their efforts to encourage growth and improve market stability largely have been successful. The IMF also says that if the economic outlook worsens, central banks in Europe and the US could ease monetary policy further; however, they risk diminishing returns- that the ETF assets linked to the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series, reached $US10.5 billion in assets under management, as of 30 April 2013. In total, more than US$176 billion of ETF assets are currently benchmarked to FTSE indices worldwide - The 24% rise in Lloyds Banking Group shares this year following the 85% rise in 2012 shows the bank's return to the private sector and the resumption of dividends is getting closer, shareholders have been told.the bank's shares hit a two-year high of 61p yesterday, chairman Sir Win Bischoff told the annual meeting in Edinburgh the prospects of a sale of the taxpayer's 39% stake have improved with the bank's return to profit, and dividends will be restarted "as soon as we are able". He added: "We fully understand the difficulties their absence is causing shareholders." - The Association of German Pfandbrief Banks (VdP) says that prices on the German market for owner occupied residential properties rose again in the first quarter of 2013. The Price Index for Owner Occupied Housing went up by 3.4% in the first three months of this year compared with the corresponding quarter one year before. Developments were driven in particular by the market for condominiums, with prices climbing 5.7% year-on-year - Judge Daniel Hurley of the US District Court for the Southern District of Florida entered supplemental consent orders against defendants Philip Milton and Trade, LLC, both of Palm Spring Gardens, Florida. Milton must now pay restitution of more than $10.8m and a further civil monetary penalty and Trade, LLC, to pay restitution of over $11.4m and a $28.4m civil monetary penalty for operating a multi-million dollar Ponzi commodity pool scheme.

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The European Review

By Patrick Artus, chief economist at Natixis

Countries’ attractiveness measured by business investment

Friday, 08 June 2012 Written by 
Countries’ attractiveness measured by business investmentCountries’ attractiveness for companies can be measured indirectly, by looking at trends in cost-competitiveness, export market shares, production capacity and employment. But it can also be measured directly by looking at business investment: what proportion of investment by a country’s companies is carried out in that country or abroad? How much is invested by foreign companies in that country? We compare the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Sweden and Japan. The two measures of attractiveness rank the countries quite differently. If we measure attractiveness by business investment, the two most attractive countries are the United States and the United Kingdom, the two least attractive countries Italy and France.http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Countries’ attractiveness for companies can be measured indirectly, by looking at trends in cost-competitiveness, export market shares, production capacity and employment. But it can also be measured directly by looking at business investment: what proportion of investment by a country’s companies is carried out in that country or abroad? How much is invested by foreign companies in that country? We compare the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Sweden and Japan.

The two measures of attractiveness rank the countries quite differently. If we measure attractiveness by business investment, the two most attractive countries are the United States and the United Kingdom, the two least attractive countries Italy and France.

Countries’ attractiveness for setting up business

Attractiveness depends on cost-competitiveness, the tax system, the skill level of the labour force, corporate profitability, public infrastructure, etc. So it is a multi-faceted and complex variable.



It can be measured indirectly, by:

  • cost-competitiveness, in light of the trend in exchange rates measured by the real trade-weighted exchange rate. Currently the currencies of the United Kingdom, Italy and Spain are overvalued in real terms;
  • export market shares, in which losses have been very marked in Japan, the United Kingdom, France and Italy;
  • the trend in potential GDP and in production capacity in industry. Potential GDP has grown significantly in the United States, while production capacity has stagnated in the United Kingdom, Japan, Spain and Italy;
  • growth in employment excluding the civil service, which has been the most vigorous in Spain and the weakest in Japan.

If we use these criteria, the most attractive countries for companies are the United States, Sweden, Germany, Spain and France, while the least attractive are the United Kingdom, Italy and Japan.

Attractiveness measured by investment

However, for each country we also look at two direct measures of attractiveness for companies:

  • the proportion of the country’s business investment that is carried out in that country and not abroad. This proportion is low in Sweden, France, Spain and the United Kingdom;
  • the share of investment by foreign companies in GDP. This proportion is high in Sweden, the United Kingdom and Spain.

According to this investment criterion of attractiveness, the most attractive countries are the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain; the least attractive are France and Italy.

Which are the most attractive countries among the large OECD countries?

When you summarise both the indirect and the direct approaches, you realize that the United States tops the ranking, while France and Italy are found at the bottom.

Patrick Artus

A graduate of Ecole Polytechnique, of Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Adminstration Economique and of Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris, Patrick Artus is today the Chief Economist at Natixis. He began his career in 1975 where his work included economic forecasting and modelisation. He then worked at the Economics Department of the OECD (1980), before becoming Head of Research at the ENSAE. Thereafter, Patrick taught seminars on research at Paris Dauphine (1982) and was Professor at a number of Universities (including Dauphine, ENSAE, Centre des Hautes Etudes de l'Armement, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées and HEC Lausanne).

Patrick is now Professor of Economics at University Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne. He combines these responsibilities with his research work at Natixis. Patrick was awarded "Best Economist of the year 1996" by the "Nouvel Economiste", and today is a member of the council of economic advisors to the French Prime Minister. He is also a board member at Total and Ipsos.

Website: cib.natixis.com/research/economic.aspx

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