Thursday 30th October 2014
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THURSDAY TICKER: OCTOBER 30TH 2014: - In ConvergEx’s survey of financial market professional, released today, uust 17% of respondents say they approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, while 73% said they disapprove. (This compares with a 41% approval/54% disapproval rating for the President in the RealClearPolitics average, 10/8-10/23/2014) Half (50%) of those surveyed give the President a “D” or “F” grade on handling issues of concern to the financial services industry. Opinions of Congress are even lower, with just 8% approving of the job being done by Congress and 81% disapproving. (This compares with a 13% approval/79% disapproval rating for Congress in the RealClearPolitics average, 10/3-10/20/2014. Almost half (46%) give Congress a “D” or “F” grade on handling issues of concern to the financial services industry. 69% of respondents say they would like Republicans to be in control of the Senate following the elections, a figure above even the 65% who say they plan to vote Republican in their own House districts. By 61% to 14%, Republicans are trusted over Democrats on issues impacting the financial services industry. For 8 of 9 market sectors, a higher percentage of respondents said equities would respond positively to a GOP win than to a Democratic win. Only for the Heath Care sector do more investors expect a positive outcome in response to Democrats holding the Senate - The Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQ) posted a net profit (before deducting minority interest) of QAR503m in 3Q2014, flat QoQ, but 79% higher than a particularly weak 3Q2013. CBQ’s operating income in 3Q2014 increased 16% YoY but dropped 10% QoQ, driven by lower-than-expected results at subsidiary ABank. ABank’s operating income tumbled around 23% QoQ as non-interest income plummeted. For CBQ excluding ABank, operating income stood at around QR 764 million in 3Q2014, up 12% YoY, down 6% QoQ - Moody's has today assigned a provisional (P)B1 corporate family rating (CFR) to Kompania Weglowa SA, the parent company of the group. This provisional rating is subject to the successful completion of the issuance of new notes as currently contemplated by management. Concurrently, Moody's has assigned a provisional (P)B1 rating with a loss-given default (LGD) assessment of 3 (46%) to the senior unsecured notes to be issued by Kompania Weglowa Finance AB (publ), a financing vehicle owned by the company. The outlook on all ratings is stable - ING Group will release its 3Q 2014 results on Wednesday November 5th around 7:00 am CET - AIMCo, Allianz Capital Partners, EDF Invest andHastings have closed its buy of Porterbrook, a UK-based rolling stock leasing company. orterbrook is one of three main rolling stock companies (ROSCOs) in the UK that owns and leases a fleet of passenger and freight rolling stock to Train Operating Companies and Freight Operating Companies under long term contracts. It owns 32 per cent of total passenger rolling stock in the UK. No financial terms were disclosed - Fixed-income markets remain volatile: Europe is challenged, Brazil might struggle, and China is dealing with a potential property bubble. Opportunities nonetheless remain rife for savvy investors, particularly in the high-yield markets. Western Asset believes high-yield should be a key component of any successfully diversified bond portfolio. "We are pretty bullish on credit in general, and high-yield in particular," says Michael Buchanan, head of Global Credit at Western Asset. "Credit is less about the overall economic environment and more about strong corporate fundamentals. Corporations can do well in a mediocre economy, and that seems to be what's happening. Three factors are important right now: the overall economic environment is supportive; strong active management allows us to identify the right opportunities; and valuations are as compelling as they have been in months. This is a good time to take a fresh look at high-yield." Western Asset also believes high-yield products will offer price appreciation as spreads should tighten. On the global economic environment, Mr. Buchanan echoed Western Asset views that interest rates are poised to rise – albeit slowly, and via a process that will be carefully measured. Rates will not be meaningfully higher in the near future, or at least the moves will be gradual – According to Moody’s while the US government's current fiscal position remains relatively healthy, mandatory social spending will begin weakening the current fiscal profile of the US government at the end of the decade. For the next few years, barring another shock like the global financial crisis, the US budget deficit is expected to remain well within historical norms with Federal government debt ratios stable. However, the fiscal implications of the US government's healthcare-related programs likely will put pressure on its credit profile before the end of the decade, absent unexpected and sustained growth in revenue due to higher than expected GDP growth, additional tax increases, or reductions in planned expenditures, says Moody’s.

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Regulatory Update

Positioning your firm with investors

Wednesday, 06 June 2012 Written by 
Positioning your firm with investors The evidence keeps mounting that operational risks can lead to poor returns on investment and even cause a firm’s failure. A new study to this effect has just been published in the Journal of Financial Economics (February 2012, Trust and Delegation by Stephen Brown et al.). Based on data from 444 hedge funds’ due diligence reports from 2003 to 2008, Brown and his team conclude that “high operational risk can potentially destroy investor value.” They write, “operational risk as we define it leads to direct and indirect losses that can be measured in terms of diminished performance. In extreme circumstances, operational failures can lead to fund failure.” http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

The evidence keeps mounting that operational risks can lead to poor returns on investment and even cause a firm’s failure. A new study to this effect has just been published in the Journal of Financial Economics (February 2012, Trust and Delegation by Stephen Brown et al.). Based on data from 444 hedge funds’ due diligence reports from 2003 to 2008, Brown and his team conclude that “high operational risk can potentially destroy investor value.” They write, “operational risk as we define it leads to direct and indirect losses that can be measured in terms of diminished performance. In extreme circumstances, operational failures can lead to fund failure.”

Interestingly, during the pre-financial crisis time period reviewed in the study, there appears to have been no correlation between investor behavior and an awareness of operational risk.  However, in light of recent high-visibility blow-ups reflecting inadequate internal processes investor behavior has changed considerably. 

In fact, a recent study by Citi Prime Finance focusing on more current investor behavior concludes that day one and early stage allocators to hedge funds are acutely aware of operational risk. In that study, the investors’ top three concerns – track record, previous experience working together and investment team stability – were followed by a concern with the fund's operational infrastructure. (See Day One and Early Stage Investor Allocations to Hedge Funds, Citi Prime Finance, February 2012.)  The study notes, “[t]here is growing sentiment that managers need to be more ‘institutional’ at launch to reflect a changing investor base.”



Given the results of these studies, an important way to set your firm apart from the rest is to highlight the quality of your firm’s governance structure and its related business functions and operational processes. Despite the concerns of potential clients, many managers mistakenly shy away from discussing operational risks, including compliance and regulatory issues. Instead, this calls for a proactive approach that differentiates the manager from the pack and allays concerns, which would otherwise delay an initial allocation, reduce its size, or prevent it altogether. Address this in an early page in your pitchbook. From then on, an investor should be primed to focus on your performance, your unique strategy, and your investment personnel. 

Deborah Prutzman

Deborah Prutzman is the founder and CEO of The Regulatory Fundamentals Group (RFG), a New York-based firm that designs and implements business and risk solutions for alternative asset managers and institutional investors. RFG's senior-led team employs a robust suite of tools, including practical alerts on new and potential industry developments and its powerful RFG Pathfinder® knowledge management platform which simplifies the challenges of operating in a regulated environment.  To learn more about The Regulatory Fundamentals Group call (212) 537-4058, email a representative at Information@RegFG.com or visit RegFG.com

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