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FRIDAY TICKER: AUGUST 1ST: Collaborative Data Network CMDportal statistics show that the international money market increased outstandings by approximately $31bn during the month of July, both in USD and in EUR, with three of the four major asset classes posting growth. Financial Institutions Groups (FIGs) outstandings increased by 3.44%, seeing the greatest absolute growth. Sovereigns, Supranationals and Agencies (SSAs) posted a 2.9% increase. Oustandings by Corporate borrowers grew by 7%. The only major sector that posted a contraction was Asset-Backed securities, which finished down by approximately $1.4bn (3.2%). USD denominated markets grew by USD13.2bn and Euro denominated markets grew by $12.5bn equivalent. Total International Money Market settlements in July reached $307.8bn - Moody's Interfax Rating Agency has today affirmed the Baa3.ru national scale rating (NSR) of Maritime Bank. The affirmation of the NSR reflects Maritime Bank's currently acceptable capital adequacy and asset quality balanced with weak profitability; and modest liquidity cushion against the bank's high depositor concentration and the challenging operating environment in Russia. NSRs carry no specific outlooks. The rating action is primarily based on the bank's unaudited financial statements for January 2013-July 2014 - The Macau government published the casino industry’s gross gaming revenue today. In July, Macau collected 28.4 gross gaming revenue, or an equivalent of 917 million daily table wins, down 3.6% from a year ago. Macau’s July numbers were clouded by the World Cup, say the government. Chinese are avid soccer fans. Macau names fell off in trading after the announcement, with Galaxy Entertainment losing 2.4%, while Wynn Resorts fell 1.8%. All eyes are now on August’s figures - A new point-of-sale malware known as Backoff has been linked to numerous remote-access attacks, putting small merchants at greatest risk, according to an alert from federal authorities. The alert from the Department of Homeland Security, the Secret Service and the Financial Services Information Sharing and Analysis Center notes that Backoff is a recently discovered family of POS malware that has now been identified in at least three separate forensic investigations – Italy’s biggest retail bank Intesa Sanpaolo has beaten forecasts reporting a Q2 net profit of €217m, as the bank moves along a new business path which highlights asset management. The bank said its operating result and pre-tax profit for the period was the best in the last nine quarters, with higher revenues from asset management offsetting the impact of one-off charges such as write-downs.

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Regulatory Update

The Euro: Preparing for the Unthinkable

Tuesday, 26 June 2012 Written by 
The Euro: Preparing for the Unthinkable One day in 1974, payments failed to move across the leading US dollar payment mechanism, CHIPS, operated by The New York Clearing House. Earlier that day, German regulators had closed a relatively small bank, Bank Herstatt, in Cologne.  Following this closure, banks stopped sending funds to one another; no bank knew whether the recipient might have exposure to Herstatt (and thus might experience unacceptable losses). To their credit, bank regulators spent much of the following decades addressing this risk, both in the payments market and in the FX market through the CLS system. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

One day in 1974, payments failed to move across the leading US dollar payment mechanism, CHIPS, operated by The New York Clearing House. Earlier that day, German regulators had closed a relatively small bank, Bank Herstatt, in Cologne.  Following this closure, banks stopped sending funds to one another; no bank knew whether the recipient might have exposure to Herstatt (and thus might experience unacceptable losses). To their credit, bank regulators spent much of the following decades addressing this risk, both in the payments market and in the FX market through the CLS system.

Although I was General Counsel of the Clearing House and CLS, participating in these and related developments, it took the events of 2007 and 2008 to drive home their significance. Now, with  a slow-down in the world economy and even the possible demise of the euro, do we once again need to prepare for the unthinkable? And how can any individual firm do so?

At the very least firms need to recognize that these types of risks cannot be managed in silos; there must be a cohesive approach across all business areas and breakpoints – from liquidity and credit risks to regulatory and reputational risks.  If the euro is redenominated, businesses may face market closures, reversion to and rapid devaluation of legacy currencies, mandatory bank holidays, restrictions on convertibility, and a lack of liquidity.  A scenario analysis can help identify how such developments might impact key clients, key markets, and most critically –in the short term – liquidity needs. The information gathered in this analysis should be factored into credit and risk management plans. But most importantly, it needs to be communicated to key people. Your board and your staff need to be prepared for various scenarios, and you may also need to communicate with regulators and suppliers.  A careful analysis of and preparation for all contingencies can help a firm survive even the unthinkable.

Deborah Prutzman

Deborah Prutzman is the founder and CEO of The Regulatory Fundamentals Group (RFG), a New York-based firm that designs and implements business and risk solutions for alternative asset managers and institutional investors. RFG's senior-led team employs a robust suite of tools, including practical alerts on new and potential industry developments and its powerful RFG Pathfinder® knowledge management platform which simplifies the challenges of operating in a regulated environment.  To learn more about The Regulatory Fundamentals Group call (212) 537-4058, email a representative at Information@RegFG.com or visit RegFG.com

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