Tuesday 25th November 2014
NEWS TICKER: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25TH 2015 - Morningstar has downgraded its Analyst rating for the Fidelity European Opportunities fund to Neutral. Jeremy Beckwith, director of manager research, Morningstar UK comments: “We have assigned the Fidelity European Opportunities fund a Morningstar Analyst Rating™ of Neutral. The fund had previously been placed Under Review following the fund’s management change announced in the summer. It was previously rated Silver. Alberto Chiandetti—who has gained most of his investment experience in the Italian market—took over from former manager Colin Stone on 1 October 2014. He is also responsible for two single-country strategies: Fidelity Italy since 2008, which has a Morningstar Analyst Rating of Silver, and Fidelity Switzerland since 2011, rated Neutral”. According to Beckwith: “This is Chiandetti’s first time running a European mandate and we expect to see him bring in relevant changes to the strategy. Over a full market cycle, he has proven able to execute his process well at the helm of Fidelity Italy; that said, his past results are not fully relevant for this product, given the differences in the investable universe and the opportunity set compared to the country funds. We have therefore assigned a Neutral rating to reflect the uncertainties surrounding the future of this strategy.” - Among the five China ETFs listed on Singapore Exchange (SGX), the three most active China ETFs in the 2014 year-to-date have been db x-trackers CSI 300 UCITS ETF, db x-trackers MSCI CHINA INDEX UCITS ETF, and United SSE50 China ETF. These first two are traded in US dollars, and the latter in Singapore dollars. These three China ETFs are synthetic ETFs that use derivative instruments such as swaps to track the reference index as compared to physical ETFs that hold the securities or assets of the reference index. These three ETFs generated an average 2014 year-to-date total return of 8.4% - The Straits Times Index (STI) ended +4.46 points higher or +0.13% to 3344.99, taking the year-to-date performance to +5.69%. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained +0.21% while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index declined -0.47%. The top active stocks were SingTel (+0.26%), Olam Intl (-2.27%), DBS (+0.20%), ComfortDelGro (-2.71%) and CapitaLand (+0.30%). Outperforming sectors today were represented by the FTSE ST Technology Index (+1.14%). The two biggest stocks of the FTSE ST Technology Index are Silverlake Axis (+2.40%) and STATS ChipPAC (-1.11%). The underperforming sector was the FTSE ST Basic Materials Index, which declined -0.84% with Midas Holdings’ share price declining -1.70% and Geo Energy Resources’ share price unchanged. The three most active Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) by value today were the IS MSCI India (-0.77%), SPDR Gold Shares (+0.43%), STI ETF (unchanged). The three most active Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) by value were Suntec REIT (+1.58%), Ascendas REIT (+1.76%), CapitaMall Trust (+0.25%). The most active index warrants by value today were HSI23800MBeCW141230 (unchanged), HSI23600MBePW141230 (-3.23%), HSI24400MBeCW141230 (unchanged). The most active stock warrants by value today were DBS MB eCW150602 (-2.96%), OCBC Bk MBeCW150413 (+1.08%), UOB MB eCW150415 (+6.25%) - Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) is providing financing under a Regional Public Goods Programme (RPG) that will be managed by Caribbean Export Development Agency in its capacity as the Secretariat for the Caribbean Association of Investment Promotion Agencies (CAIPA. The IDB has provided US$900.000 to CAIPA to support several initiatives geared towards increasing foreign direct investment (FDI) into the Caribbean and will be implemented over a two year period - Mexico has posted record FDI of $35.2bn inflow in 2013, nearly double the level seen in 2012, mainly due to Belgian brewer Anheuser-Busch InBev's acquisition of Mexican beer giant Grupo Modelo, which brought in over $13bn, according to figures released by the economy ministry - Eight Italian regions have hired banks to manage a round of bond buybacks for them, the treasury said on Tuesday, in a move aimed at giving indebted local administrations more time to repay their loans. Abruzzo, Campania, Lazio, Liguria, Lombardy, Marche, Piedmont and Puglia have hired Barclays, BNP Paribas, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank to manage any offers to buy back their bonds.

Bank of Japan Pushes the Yen Lower

Friday, 12 April 2013 Written by 
Bank of Japan Pushes the Yen Lower The Bank of Japan (BoJ) captured the attention of the foreign exchange world last week when it started to live up to the expectations of the market. After much anticipation, and lots of preceding rhetoric, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda announced the BoJ’s plan to double its bond buying efforts to reach the 2% inflation target in the allotted two-year window. It was his comments on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s inflation goals while still at the Asian Development Bank that might have won him the top job at the Japanese central bank. Earlier this week, the program kicked into gear and the JPY lost 4% versus the USD and 5% versus the GBP. The main beneficiaries have been Japan’s exporters and holders of Japanese stocks with the Nikkei Index reaching new highs on the value of the yen. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) captured the attention of the foreign exchange world last week when it started to live up to the expectations of the market. After much anticipation, and lots of preceding rhetoric, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda announced the BoJ’s plan to double its bond buying efforts to reach the 2% inflation target in the allotted two-year window. It was his comments on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s inflation goals while still at the Asian Development Bank that might have won him the top job at the Japanese central bank. Earlier this week, the program kicked into gear and the JPY lost 4% versus the USD and 5% versus the GBP. The main beneficiaries have been Japan’s exporters and holders of Japanese stocks with the Nikkei Index reaching new highs on the value of the yen.

The decision has not been without its critics and some, such as George Soros, cautioned that the fall in the yen could be “an avalanche” that the BoJ could not stop if the Japanese people start to sell the currency. China and South Korea remain critical of the move, branding it a currency war before the Group of Twenty meeting last February. This week, the negative criticism persisted, but the words used were “monetary blackmail” instead of “currency war”. Those ugly words have not been uttered since the Group of Seven made it clear that as long as Japan’s monetary easing means are used for domestic aims, it does not imply unfair currency manipulation.

 



 

Pound Sterling Fluctuations Continue

The GBP is coming off annual lows versus the USD registered in mid-March. The disappointing nonfarm payrolls jobs report released last week in the U.S. boosted the GBP, though it still remains below the 1.54 level. Last Thursday, the U.S. unemployment claims release came in well-below expected estimates and that in-turn could hinder the pound’s recovery as less Americans claimed unemployment support.

 

 

During the week, the pound gained significantly versus the yen after the BoJ’s new round of easing was introduced. Japan’s bond buying program could double the Japanese monetary base by the end of 2014. Though Kuroda is attempting to follow through on his pledge to reach Prime Minister Abe’s desired 2% inflation target within a tight timeframe, he has also said the BoJ’s ambitions are “flexible”.

 

 

Rise of the United Mexican States

Changes in legislation and favourable U.S. economic conditions have pushed the Mexican peso to a 20-month high. The changes introduced by President Pena Nieto’s administration bolstered confidence in Mexico’s media and telecommunications industries. Last month, the Bank of Mexico cut the overnight rate from 4.5% by 50 basis points after the inflation targets were within range. Bank of Mexico Governor Agustín Carstens has called the rise of the peso a reflection of the nation’s economic strength.

 

 

That statement is tough to refute. The MXN has gained 23.55% versus the JPY, 12.2% versus the GBP, and 8.67% versus the EUR since the beginning of the year.

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst, OANDA
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. He covers central banks and global economic and political trends for OANDA. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and financial services marketing from the University of Toronto.

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