Sunday 29th May 2016
NEWS TICKER, FRIDAY MAY 27TH: BGEO Group plc, the London listed holding company of JSC Bank of Georgia, has this morning announced that Bank of Georgia, Georgia’s leading bank, and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) have signed a GEL220m (approximately £70m) loan agreement with a maturity of five years. EBRD obtained the local currency funds through a private placement of GEL-dominated bonds arranged by Galt &Taggart, a wholly owned subsidiary of BGEO. This is the largest and the longest maturity local currency loan granted to a Georgian bank, which will allow Bank of Georgia to issue longer-term local currency loans, providing essential support for micro, small and medium sized enterprises to converge to DCFTA requirements, as well as underserved women entrepreneurs. “We are keen to develop financial products and lending practices, to service specifically women-led SMEs, which will ultimately increase their involvement in developing Georgia’s private sector”, says Irakli Gilauri, CEO of BGEO Group - The UK’s CBI has responded to analysis from the Treasury showing that a vote to leave the European Union could negatively impact UK pensions. Rain Newton-Smith, CBI Economics Director, says that: “All pension schemes benefit when funds can be invested across a stable, growing economy, to best support people in their retirement years. Any financial market turmoil caused by a Brexit is likely to have a negative effect on household wealth, the value of funds and damage pensions here at home, especially for those looking to retire within the next few years. The sheer weight of credible evidence points towards a serious economic shock if the UK were to leave the EU, meaning a hit to the value of our private pensions, jobs and prosperity.” - EPFR Global reports that Nine weeks into the second quarter mutual fund investors remain underwhelmed by their choices as they seek to navigate a global economy characterized by political uncertainty in Europe, lacklustre corporate profits and the prospect of another interest rate hike in the US, economic stress in major emerging markets and Japan's experiment with negative interest rates. During the week ending May 25 all nine of the major EPFR Global-tracked Emerging and Developed Markets Equity Fund groups posted outflows, as did Global, High Yield, Asia-Pacific and Emerging Markets Bond Funds, seven of the 11 major Sector Fund groups and three out of every five Country Equity Fund groups. Alternative Funds look to have taken in over $1bn for the fifth time in the past 14 weeks. Overall, EPFR Global-tracked Bond Funds added $2.6 billion to their year-to-date tally while another $9.1bn flowed out of Equity Funds. Some $12bn was absorbed by Money Market Funds with US funds attracting the bulk of the fresh money. EPFR Global-tracked Emerging Markets Equity Funds remained under pressure from many directions. China's economic data and policy shifts continue to paint a mixed picture for growth in the world's second largest economy, the US Federal Reserve is talking up the prospects of a second rate hike this summer, Europe's recovery appears to be running out of stream and the recent recovery in commodities prices is being viewed with scepticism in many quarters. All four of the major groups recorded outflows during the week ending May 25, with the diversified Global Emerging Markets (GEM) Equity Funds seeing the biggest outflows in cash terms and EMEA Equity Funds in flows as a percentage of AUM terms. Latin America Equity Funds extended their longest outflow streak since late 3Q15 as investors who bought into the prospect of political and economic change in Brazil confront the messy reality. However, year to date Brazil has been the top emerging market for all EPFR Global-tracked Equity Funds as managers bet that the impeachment proceedings against President Dilma Rousseff will open the door to more centrist economic policymaking says the funds data maven. Among the EMEA markets, the firm reports that GEM managers are showing more optimism than investors. EMEA Equity Funds have now posted outflows for five straight weeks and investors have pulled over $300m out of Russia and South Africa Equity Funds so far this month, though GEM allocations for both South Africa and Russia climbed coming into this month. The latest allocations data indicates less optimism about China despite is still impressive official numbers - annual GDP was running at 6.7% in 1Q16 - and the edge the recent slide in the renminbi should give Chinese exporters. GDP growth in Emerging Asia's second largest market, India, is even higher. Elsewhere, India Equity Funds have struggled to attract fresh money as investors wait to for domestic business investment and the government's reform agenda to kick into higher gears says EPFR Global – According to New Zealand press reports, stock exchange operator, NZX, will initiate confidential enquiries into listed companies that experience large, unexplained share price movements, to determine whether they may be holding undisclosed "material" information even while remaining in compliance with the market's Listing Rules that require disclosure of material information at certain trigger points. In an announcement this morning, NZX also warned investors not to assume that a listed entity's Listing Rules compliance statements meant they did not have material information in their possession which would potentially require eventual disclosure - Asian stocks were modestly higher today, largely on the back of increasingly softening sentiment from the US Federal Reserve. Most people think there will be one rate hike this year, but likely it will be in July rather than June. Either way, it will be one and not two or three. Fed chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to talk about interest rates at an event at Harvard University today and the expectation is that a softer approach for the rest of this year will be writ large; a good signal of intent will follow today’s quarterly growth stats. The presidential election will encourage caution; continued market volatility will encourage caution and mixed manufacturing data will encourage caution. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index added 0.4% to touch 16,834.84 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.9% to 20,576.52. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.3% to 2,829.67. The Straits Times Index (STI) ended 6.65 points or 0.24% higher to 2773.31, taking the year-to-date performance to -3.80%. The top active stocks today were SingTel, which gained 1.05%, DBS, which gained 0.07%, UOB, which gained0.11%, Keppel Corp, which gained2.47% and Ascendas REIT, which closed unchanged. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained 0.27%, while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index rose 0.30% - The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) says it is taking the first step towards developing a green financial system in Kazakhstan in partnership with the Astana International Financial Centre (AIFC) Authority. EBRD President Sir Suma Chakrabarti and AIFC Governor Kairat Kelimbetov signed an agreement today on the sidelines of the Foreign Investors Council’s plenary session to commission a scoping study for the development of a green financing system in Kazakhstan. The study, scheduled to be completed in 2017, will assess the demand for green investments, identify gaps in current regulations, and make recommendations for the introduction of green financing standards and for the development of the green bonds market and carbon market services. The development of a green financing system would be consistent with the COP21 Paris Agreement, aligning financing flows with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate resilient development. The AIFC Authority was put in place earlier this year and is tasked with developing an international financial centre in Astana. In March, the AIFC Authority, TheCityUK and the EBRD signed a Memorandum of Understanding to support the establishment of the financial centre and to encourage and improve opportunities for the financial and related professional services industries – Turkey’s Yuksel has issued notice to holders of $200m senior notes due 2015 (ISIN XS0558618384), and filed with the Luxembourg Stock Exchange, that the company has agreed a term sheet with the ad-hoc committee of noteholders and its advisors to implement a restructuring of the notes and is currently finalising the required scheme documentation with the Committee. Once agreed, the Company will apply to the English High Court for leave to convene a meeting of note creditors to vote on the scheme proposals as soon as reasonably practicable when the High Court reconvenes after vacation in June 2016 - Following the agreement in principle of the May 24th Eurogroup for the release of the next loan tranche to Greece, domestic authorities have intensified their efforts for the completion of all pending issues reports EFG Eurobank in Athens. According to Greece’s Minister of Finance Euclid Tsakalotos, on the fulfilment of all pending issues, €7.5bn will be disbursed in mid-June, of which €1.8bn will be channeled to clear state arrears – This weekend is the second UK May Bank Holiday. FTSE Global Markets will reopen on Tuesday, May 31st at 9.00 am. We wish our readers and clients a sunny, restful, safe and exceedingly happy holiday.

Latest Video

Twin peaks: the fire walk of UK market regulation?

Monday, 05 March 2012
Twin peaks: the fire walk of UK market regulation? Those who were keen followers of the 1990s cult television series Twin Peaks and its prequel film, Twin Peaks: Fire Walk With Me may have experienced some concern at hearing recently in a speech by the Financial Services Authority's (FSA’s) chief executive officer, Hector Sants, that the regulator would very shortly start adopting a ‘Twin Peaks’ model of regulation.  However, rather than a drama concerning the murder of a teenage girl, which explored the gulf between the veneer of small-town respectability and the seedier layers of life lurking beneath it, this is the continuing drama of the progress of the UK’s regulatory reform programme, though it is also laced with some underlying seediness, mystery and double-think, all thrown in for good measure. Charlotte Hill, partner and head of the financial services and regulation practice at law firm Stephenson Harwood, gives a sprightly, sometimes humorous run through the implications of change, positing that it might all be too complicated for it’s own good. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/media/k2/items/cache/3fc2270e36abb53621f286382276e85e_XL.jpg

Those who were keen followers of the 1990s cult television series Twin Peaks and its prequel film, Twin Peaks: Fire Walk With Me may have experienced some concern at hearing recently in a speech by the Financial Services Authority's (FSA’s) chief executive officer, Hector Sants, that the regulator would very shortly start adopting a ‘Twin Peaks’ model of regulation.  However, rather than a drama concerning the murder of a teenage girl, which explored the gulf between the veneer of small-town respectability and the seedier layers of life lurking beneath it, this is the continuing drama of the progress of the UK’s regulatory reform programme, though it is also laced with some underlying seediness, mystery and double-think, all thrown in for good measure. Charlotte Hill, partner and head of the financial services and regulation practice at law firm Stephenson Harwood, gives a sprightly, sometimes humorous run through the implications of change, positing that it might all be too complicated for it’s own good.

The financial crisis and recession caused the FSA, the United King-dom’s financial markets reg-ulator, to be criticised for being too costly and ineffective in its approach to regulation, resulting in a complete reform of the UK's regulatory structure.

Right now the UK financial markets are governed by a tripartite system of regulation, with regulatory responsibility being shared between the Bank of England (BoE), the FSA and HM Treasury. However it looks as if this system has now had its day and change is afoot. There is much optimism that this time around, all will be well and the shortcomings of the previous system will be addressed and a new dawn is breaking.



The old structures will be replaced with an all-new, all-improved, shiny new system, where responsibility for regulation will be shared between, em ... three new regulatory bodies! These are the Financial Policy Committee (FPC), which will sit in the BoE and take responsibility for the macro-prudential regulation of the UK financial system; the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA), which will sit as an independent subsidiary of the BoE and take responsibility for the micro-prudential regulation of financial institutions of systemic importance, such as banks and building societies; and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), which will inherit the majority of the FSA’s current regulatory functions and be responsible for the conduct of business regulation of all firms currently regulated by the FSA. This will include those firms that will be dual-regulated, authorised and subject to prudential regulation by the PRA.  

In two speeches on February 6th and 7th this year, Hector Sants announced what he termed a "major milestone" in the progress of the regulatory reform programme, namely, the introduction of a "Twin Peaks" model of regulation, which would be operating within the FSA from April 2nd 2012. From this date, two regulatory models (the Twin Peaks) will operate within the FSA in preparation for those models becoming separate regulatory entities early in 2013. One peak is earmarked for prudential regulation and the other for conduct regulation. So, banks, building societies, insurers and major investment firms will have two separate groups of supervisors: one focussing on prudential issues and the other on conduct.

Whilst the FSA could not completely replicate the new approach envisaged by the Financial Services Bill at this stage, the Twin Peaks model will ensure that the transition to the new regulatory structure early in 2013 (termed, in true superb FSA-speak, the "cutover") would be "seamless".  

Not only are there the two independent groups of supervisors for banks, insurers and major investment firm but also, all other firms (that is, those which are not dual-regulated) will be supervised entirely by the conduct supervisors. These separate groups of supervisors will make their own separate judgements, and against different objectives. This is an important distinction, as we are told that they will be "pursing different goals". Up to now, there has been little clarity on what all this means, but the approach is summarised in another piece of fluent FSA-speak: "independent but coordinated decision making"––an approach that will be "stressed to staff". The thrust of this appears to be a policy of sometimes working together, but sometimes not, whilst somehow managing to share all data collected from companies.  Although no detail is given, "greater clarity" apparently has been given to the objectives of the two supervisory groups. No information is given on what this "clarity" entails.

Those still reeling from the spectre of two separate sets of supervisors will exit screaming at the intelligence that the existing ARROW risk mitigation programme will be split between the Twin Peaks. The Financial Services Authority (FSA) is a risk-based regulator and ARROW is the framework it uses to make risk-based regulation operational. ARROW stands for the Advanced, Risk-Responsive Operating Framework and covers firm specific (vertical supervision), thematic (those involving several firms or relating to the market as a whole; the FSA terms this ‘horizontal’ work) and internal risks (these are operational risks that might impact the FSA).

ARROW will be split between those actions which are relevant to the conduct supervisory group's objectives and those that relate to the objectives of the prudential group. What is worse is that this is only just around the corner. From April 2nd 2012 onwards, the two separate supervisory units will run their own risk mitigation programmes and firms will have "two separate sets of mitigating actions to address".  

The two supervisory teams will assess risk separately, against their own separate objectives (and of course, firms do not as yet know what these are). Any firm currently preparing for an ARROW visit, or anticipating one later in the year will not be delighted by the knowledge that each group may well ask apparently similar questions, but that the purpose will be different.  

Conclusions drawn from the ARROW process will be coordinated with "a single pack of documentation" being presented to the firm's board––but this will have "two separate sections". However, there will not be a consolidated list of required actions arising from the ARROW visit.

Doubling up on visits
The meaning seems to be that you will still have an ARROW visit (at least, for the lifetime of the current FSA), but this will in fact be two visits. When the visit is over, the FSA will provide one, consolidated pack of documentation summarising the conclusions of the assessment. However this will be divided into two, with two separate sets of actions, to each of which firms are required to give "equal focus". So, you are indeed seeing double––your one ARROW visit has suddenly become two. Anyone who has been through the current ARROW process well knows the enormous amount of preparatory work that is necessary and the stress of the increasingly demanding interviews, so it is hardly welcome news that the amount of work involved is about to be doubled.

Firms will be required to make "behavioural changes", so that the new approach works "to the benefit of society" as a whole. In line with this, firms must comply with supervisory judgements "willingly" and "proactively"; in other words, not challenge FSA judgements, but take it like lambs. Firms must align their goals with those of their supervisors and (again) "with society as a whole". So, now companies have "the best interests of society" to contend with, along with everything else.

Unsurprisingly, no steer is given as to what these might be, or which society the regulator may have in mind. Rather puzzlingly, a further feature of this new world is that firms must "recognise that there are times when both firms and the regulator will make judgements which in hindsight are found to be wrong".  Sounds sinister!  What does this mean exactly?  

Perhaps the killer punch comes in an apparently throwaway line that is not elaborated further that firms must "recognise that this new approach will require greater resources and expertise and thus costs more than the old reactive model". Double the trouble, it seems, means double the cost. More fees and a greater cost of regulation at a time when companies are feeling the pinch of uncertain markets and falling revenues and buckling under the weight of around thirty-five (at last count) separate new legislative measures from Europe.

There is much still to be done and in his speeches, Sants provided a shopping list of the issues still to be addressed within the next twelve months, any one of which would be enough to keep an army of regulators busy for a good deal longer than this. They include amendments to the threshold conditions; the designing of a new "operating platform" for the FCA and the PRA; designing a new supervisory framework to replace ARROW; finalising the new Memorandum of Understanding detailing how the FCA and the PRA will coordinate their activities; splitting the Rulebook between the PRA and the FCA; and training (and presumably, recruiting) staff.

The next twelve months are likely to be extremely lively, as the FSA wrestles with operating within the Twin Peaks framework and labours with the complexity and volume of the issues still to be addressed.  Firms once again will be obliged to wrestle with major operational changes due to regulatory upheaval. Twin Peaks looks like being only the beginning of the fire walk.

Current Issue

TWITTER FEED

Related News

Related Articles

Related Videos