Wednesday 7th October 2015
NEWS TICKER: Wednesday, October 7th: The Mercado Alternativo Bursátil (MAB) has approved the listing of Lleida Networks Serveis Telemátics on the Growth Companies segment of this market. The company is scheduled to start trading next October 9th. Together with the listing, the company has carried out a €4.9m capital increase, bringing its initial market capitalisation to €18.9m. The starting price will be €1.18 per share. The company’s trading code will be LLN and trading will be through a price setting mechanism which will match buy and sell orders by means of two daily auction periods or “fixings”, at 12 hrs and at 16 hrs. PricewaterhouseCoopers is acting as registered adviser and BEKA Finance as liquidity provider. - Global Legal Entity Identifier Foundation (GLEIF) commences accreditation of legal entity identifier issuing organizations. In its role as accreditation agency, GLEIF evaluates the suitability of organizations seeking to operate as issuers of Legal Entity Identifiers - HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud and Kingdom Holding Company (KHC), have increased their ownership in Twitter in the past six weeks to a total of 34,948,975 shares, representing more than 5% of Twitter’s common stock with a market value of $1bn. This combined investment makes Prince Alwaleed and KHC the second largest shareholders in Twitter - Vistra (UK) Limited ('Vistra') is pleased to announce the appointment of Barry Gowdy as Director, effective 1st October. Gowdy joins Vistra from RBC Wealth Management, where he was responsible for the firm's UK property trust clients – According to NIBC the labour market report for September is one indicator that US economy is losing momentum. It is a view reflected by the weakening of business confidence surveys and a more moderate pace of job growth over the last few months. Although not related to the problems that have engulfed emerging markets over the last summer,, it appears that US businesses have on average accumulated too much in inventories. The number of non-farm payrolls increased by only 142k, whereas 200k was expected and the August reading was revised downwards from 173k to 136k. Additionally, underlying figures indicate that a relatively strong boost in the number of jobs in the public sector camouflaged the weakness in private sector job gains. Market participants were probably also intrigued by the slow rate of hourly wage (earnings) growth. These stayed flat in September compared to August, while the annual rate of wage growth stayed at 2.2%, in line with the annual rate in between 2.0 and 2.5% range this year - Global Jet Capital, a provider of financing solutions for large-cabin, long-range private jets, has agreed to purchase the aircraft lease and loan portfolio of GE Capital Corporate Aircraft in the Americas representing approximately $2.5bn of net assets. Shawn Vick, executive director of Global Jet Capital says, “We are investing heavily in growing the business both organically and through strategic acquisitions such as this one with GE. This is a prime example of our industry expertise and investment capital coming together to evaluate and identify an opportunity to expand the business in a disciplined, carefully measured way.” The price point of the aircraft range between $25m and $75m on average, and corporate users and high net worth individuals will seek competitive financing solutions rather than allocate their own cash resources which are better invested in their own businesses - Gresham Computing plc, a provider of real-time financial transaction control and enterprise data integrity solutions, today announced the appointment of Damian Canning as Sales Director for North America. Based in Gresham’s New York City office, Canning will be responsible for continuing the strong growth of Gresham’s Clareti Transaction Control (CTC) platform in North America - Spending on food, entry fees, insurance and entertainment over the three day Eid al-Adha festival, some 300,000 Saudis spent SAR400m ($107m), according to local press reports. Bahraini officials report higher than usual tourist inflows and spending. Roughly 50% of those who checked in the kingdom’s hotels were nationals of member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council, enjoying Bahrain’s more relaxed ambience - The Philippine unit of Royal Dutch Shell Plc said on Monday it was looking to launch a long-delayed initial public offering (IPO) sometime next year, and may sell even more than the minimum requirement of 10 percent of common stock. "We're getting ready for it," Shell Philippines Country Chairman Edgar Chua told reporters on the sidelines of a Shell event. "We've discussed it with the (Philippines Department of Energy), it's just a question of timing." Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp, which operates one of the country's two refineries, is required under a nearly two-decade local law to conduct an IPO. The company had previously cited unfavourable market conditions and the need to upgrade its local refinery in deferring a share sale. Shell's refinery upgrade is underway and could be completed hopefully by the middle of November says a Shell spokesman - European regulators have approved the London Stock Exchange's plan to link the operations of LCH.Clearnet and EuroCCP to offer investors more choice for clearing their trades on the UK bourse. The link is set to begin October 26th - The Straits Times Index (STI) ended 58.1 points or 2.08% higher to 2851.25, taking the year-to-date performance to -15.27%. The top active stocks today were SingTel, which gained 2.81%, DBS, which gained 2.36%, UOB, which gained1.64%, OCBC Bank, which gained2.05% and CapitaLand, with a 2.49%advance. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained 1.45%, while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index rose 1.04%. - Morningstar has downgraded the Aberforth UK Small Companies fund to a Morningstar Analyst Rating™ of Silver. The fund previously held a Gold Rating. Samuel Meakin, manager research analyst at Morningstar, said: “Following a recent Morningstar Analyst Ratings meeting, we have moved the Aberforth UK Small Companies fund to a Morningstar Analyst Rating of Silver. The fund was previously rated Gold. Whilst we still hold the fund in high regard, the recent and upcoming changes to the management team have slightly reduced our level of conviction. Andy Bamford, one of the fund’s six managers, is set to retire at the end of this year; he follows David Ross, who retired in 2014.” - Rubicon Minerals Corporation (TSX: RMX)(NYSE MKT: RBY) was asked by Canada’s Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MOECC) on September 30th to temporarily suspend mill operations at the Phoenix Gold Project) to treat elevated ammonia levels, discharge sufficient water from the tailings management facility (TMF), and to upgrade the TMF, under specific timelines. It also ordered Rubicon to undertake other operational and reporting obligations, including construction upgrades to the TMF. The company has been utilizing alternative technologies to address the ammonia levels in the TMF - LIFE, the global diaspora organisation of Lebanese finance executives says it has signed an academic partnership with Cambridge Judge Business School, the business school of the University of Cambridge – Figures shows that the United Kingdom’s HMRC collected a record £7.5bn in stamp duty from residential property transactions in 2014/2015, up from £6.45bn the previous year and from £4.9bn in 2012/2013 and the total tax collected from home buyers in the UK has grown by 165% over the last six years alone. Transactions in London contributed the most residential stamp duty revenue at just over £3bn, followed by the South East at £1.6bn and between 2008/2009 and 2014/2015, stamp duty revenues in London have grown by 248%, compared to around 158% in the East of England and 140% in the South East. The latest analysis reports from both Knight Frank and Savills look into the effect of this on the prime market in London and both conclude that the stamp duty changes introduced last December are still having an effect on sales 10 months on.

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The push and pull of willpower & politics

Friday, 25 May 2012
The push and pull of willpower & politics June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined.

June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined.

If the Germans and French remain reluctant to put their money in the pockets by either using the ECB’s potential firepower or create a special eurobond then they could themselves become the very nemesis of the single currency that they tell us they are so desperate to keep. Even so, risk aversion continues to whittle down the markets; at the time of writing the index is at 5380, down some 25 points. Traders are watching term support trends at 5335, 5300 and 5275; hopeful bulls out there will be looking for resistance at 5490, 5615/45. This near term downward trend sees the index capped by a downward trend line that also puts some resistance at 5450. Over the longer term now that the index has broken below its 200 day moving average and its upward trend line a close below 5400 could been seen as very negative and we’re now in the ­territory of people not wanting to catch a falling knife.

While immediate market focus will remain on Europe and its affect on the macro picture, there are a couple of important pieces of data that UK investors should note. First, following a surprising improvement in April, unemployment numbers are likely to show a weakening labour market.  There’s little in the way of encouraging data from the UK at the moment, but last month’s data was the first ­indication that unemployment is ­starting to peak. Job creation has come largely from part time rather than ­permanent work and the tick downwards to 8.3% in the rate of unemployment is expected to rise back to 8.4%. Second, it will be interesting to see whether the upcoming Bank of England’s inflation report will encourage the central bank to stick to their hawkish guns or whether the ­confirmation of the double dip recession and a further downgrading of growth projections will result in a more dove-ish tone.

Other European indicators are not great either: Italian ten year yields have crossed back above 6% and for Spain back above 6.5%, meanwhile risk adverse investors piled into German bunds driving their cost of borrowing even lower. This is classic fear gripping the markets once again as the vicissitudes of 2012 look to be playing out in a very similar fashion to 2011. Financial markets detest uncertainty and at the moment they are riddled with them since Greece has been unable to form a government and has had to call for a new round of  elections on 17th June. Up until that point we can expect volatility to remain high and continued pressure to the downside.

The euro made a low of $1.2720 as the situation in Greece continues to deteriorate. Bears sold the single ­currency heavily after socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos announced that talks to form a coalition government had failed and that the public would have to go back to the polls next month. Gold continued to fall as traders dumped risky assets and piled into the safety of the US dollar. Spot gold traded as low as $1541 an ounce.  With little technical support seen until $1531 and no turn around in Greece on the horizon, the down trend looks set to stay firmly in place.

On top of all the European woes there’s also the growing concern that China is slowing down quicker than was previously thought. Add any downturn to the euro crisis and it has negative connotations for global growth.

As ever, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets...

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