Thursday 24th July 2014
slib33
WEDNESDAY TICKER: JULY 23RD 2014 - According to a local press reports, the Mobileye initial public offering on Wall Street will be valued at approximately $3.8bn. The original prospectus was for a valuation between $3.5-5bn, making the actual valuation at the lower end of estimates. The Israeli company will offer 8.325m shares at a price of $17-19 per share. The offering will most likely take place in two weeks, when the stock will be traded under the ticker MBLY on the New York Stock Exchange. Mobileye was founded in 1999 and has developed a camera-based system to mount on vehicles in order to aid in collision prevention - Rubicon Minerals Corporation has closed its previously announced bought deal financing of 7,060,000 flow-through common shares of the Company at a price of C$1.70 per Flow-Through Share for aggregate gross proceeds to the Company of C$12m. The Offering was conducted by a syndicate of underwriters co-led by TD Securities Inc. and BMO Capital Markets, and included National Bank Financial Inc. and Canaccord Genuity Corp. The gross proceeds from the offering will be used to incur eligible Canadian Exploration Expenses - BNP Paribas 2nd Quarter 2014 Results will be available on Thursday 31 July 2014 from 6.00 am (London time). A live webcast in English with synchronised slides of the analysts conference call hosted by Lars Machenil, chief financial officer, will be available on the bank’s website starting at 1.00 pm (London time) - After six years of severe recession that led to a cumulative loss of 1.1m jobs, the Greek labour market has started to show signs of recovery says National Bank of Greece. More than two thirds of employment losses in the private sector (730,000 jobs) are due to the closure of about 220,000 micro and small firms (30% of the existing micro and small enterprise population) together with layoffs in this segment. NBG Research’s composite indicator of employment trends, that combines information from forward-looking and coincident indicators, points to an employment growth of +0.6% y-o-y in Q3:2014 (or +20,000 jobs) and +0.9% y-o-y (or +32,000 jobs) in Q4:2014 compared to the same period of 2013 - Trading Technologies International, Inc. (TT), a provider of high-performance professional trading software, says Robbie McDonnell has been transferred to EVP Global Sales from VP/Managing Director of Asia/Pacific. McDonnell will relocate from Sydney to TT’s headquarters in Chicago, where he will report directly to CEO Rick Lane and be responsible for leading TT’s worldwide sales operation - Eze Software Group, a provider of global investment technology, has expanded its Regulatory Filings Manager service to support Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) Annex IV filings. Clients can now leverage the robust functionality of this enterprise reporting solution to generate necessary reports in accordance with the compliance deadlines of AIFMD. Proposed by European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) last year, AIFMD requires that alternative investment funds meet specific risk management standards for better monitoring, measuring, and reporting. Funds need to provide supervisory authorities with detailed investment data on a quarterly or bi-annual basis for increased transparency into funds’ activity. “Our AIFMD solution is a natural extension of all that we have learned in helping our clients file Form PF and CPO-PQR,” explains Michael Hutner, senior managing director and co-head of global sales for Eze Software Group - Cordea Savills, the international property investment management company, has purchased three canal side office buildings in Camden, North London for a total of £14.07m on behalf a corporate pension fund client. The complex is on the former site of the Camden Brewery and comprises three buildings. Elephant House and The Cooper’s Building are Grade II-listed and let to Viacom for over 8 years. The Lock Building is let to a Charity, which offers the potential for redevelopment in the short term as there are mutual break options in 2015. Cordea Savills’ were represented by Fineman Ross and CBRE acted for the vendor, Derwent London -

The push and pull of willpower & politics

Friday, 25 May 2012
The push and pull of willpower & politics June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined.

If the Germans and French remain reluctant to put their money in the pockets by either using the ECB’s potential firepower or create a special eurobond then they could themselves become the very nemesis of the single currency that they tell us they are so desperate to keep. Even so, risk aversion continues to whittle down the markets; at the time of writing the index is at 5380, down some 25 points. Traders are watching term support trends at 5335, 5300 and 5275; hopeful bulls out there will be looking for resistance at 5490, 5615/45. This near term downward trend sees the index capped by a downward trend line that also puts some resistance at 5450. Over the longer term now that the index has broken below its 200 day moving average and its upward trend line a close below 5400 could been seen as very negative and we’re now in the ­territory of people not wanting to catch a falling knife.

While immediate market focus will remain on Europe and its affect on the macro picture, there are a couple of important pieces of data that UK investors should note. First, following a surprising improvement in April, unemployment numbers are likely to show a weakening labour market.  There’s little in the way of encouraging data from the UK at the moment, but last month’s data was the first ­indication that unemployment is ­starting to peak. Job creation has come largely from part time rather than ­permanent work and the tick downwards to 8.3% in the rate of unemployment is expected to rise back to 8.4%. Second, it will be interesting to see whether the upcoming Bank of England’s inflation report will encourage the central bank to stick to their hawkish guns or whether the ­confirmation of the double dip recession and a further downgrading of growth projections will result in a more dove-ish tone.

Other European indicators are not great either: Italian ten year yields have crossed back above 6% and for Spain back above 6.5%, meanwhile risk adverse investors piled into German bunds driving their cost of borrowing even lower. This is classic fear gripping the markets once again as the vicissitudes of 2012 look to be playing out in a very similar fashion to 2011. Financial markets detest uncertainty and at the moment they are riddled with them since Greece has been unable to form a government and has had to call for a new round of  elections on 17th June. Up until that point we can expect volatility to remain high and continued pressure to the downside.

The euro made a low of $1.2720 as the situation in Greece continues to deteriorate. Bears sold the single ­currency heavily after socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos announced that talks to form a coalition government had failed and that the public would have to go back to the polls next month. Gold continued to fall as traders dumped risky assets and piled into the safety of the US dollar. Spot gold traded as low as $1541 an ounce.  With little technical support seen until $1531 and no turn around in Greece on the horizon, the down trend looks set to stay firmly in place.

On top of all the European woes there’s also the growing concern that China is slowing down quicker than was previously thought. Add any downturn to the euro crisis and it has negative connotations for global growth.

As ever, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets...

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