Wednesday 1st April 2015
NEWS TICKER: WEDNESDAY, APRIL 1st 2015 : The EBRD is considering a credit line of up to €15m to Všeobecná úverová banka a.s. (VUB) in the form of an extension of a €5m existing facility signed in December 2014, bringing the total amount provided to VUB under SlovSEFF III to €20m. This operation will enable VUB to provide sub-loans to companies and residential sector borrowers (housing associations) for energy efficiency and renewable energy investments in the Slovak Republic and provide financing for sustainable energy projects with a focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and assist in mitigating high energy and carbon intensity in the region - CMS says it has advised Orifjan Shadiyev, owner of Capital Bank Kazakhstan, on the acquisition of RBS’s business in Kazakhstan (RBSK). The CMS team was led by Graham Conlon, a partner in the corporate and international private equity team, and supported by senior associate Tetyana Dovgan - CBRE Group Inc says it has agreed to acquire the Global WorkPlace Solutions (GWS) business of Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI) for $1.475bn in cash. GWS is a provider of integrated facilities management solutions for occupiers of commercial real estate and has operations around the world – The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) says it has allowed OTC Exchange of India (OTCEI) to exit as a bourse from the nation's securities markets. According to SEBI, OTCEI had complied with the regulator's conditions for exit and is therefore "a fit case to allow exit" from capital markets adding that the bourse had made payment of necessary dues to the regulator, including 10% of the listing fee and the annual regulatory fee. "From the valuation report and undertaking of OTCEI, it is observed that all the known liabilities have been brought out and that there is no other future liability that is known as on date," SEBI said in the order dated March 31. In allowing the exit, SEBI has asked the bourse to change its name and not to use the description ‘Stock Exchange’ or any variant of it and to avoid any representation of present or past affiliation with the stock exchange, in all media. The central government had granted recognition to OTCEI, as a stock exchange on August 23, 1989 initially for a period of 5 years, which was subsequently renewed from time to time. As per SEBI’s rules, a stock exchange, whose annual trading turnover on its platform is less than Rs1,000 crore, can apply for voluntary surrender of recognition and exit, while a bourse which fails to achieve a turnover of Rs 1,000 crore, is subject to a compulsory exit process - Independent subsea remotely operated vehicle (ROV) services provider, ROVOP, has established a Western Hemisphere headquarters and support base in Houston and has hired three ROV industry professionals to lead the business. Scott Wagner, Brett “Gonzo” Eychner and Wayne Betts bring a combined total of more than 100 years’ global experience in the ROV services sector to ROVOP. They join an established management team and staff of 130 based in Aberdeen, Scotland, who have developed ROVOP into a leading player in the ROV field. The company’s client portfolio includes oil & gas, offshore wind and telecommunications companies. Mark Vorenkamp, chairman of ROVOP, said: “ROVOP is changing the market for ROV services. Over the last two decades, ROV technology, capability and service has fallen behind the pace of change seen in other industries. ROVOP’s facility is located in North West Houston on a 1.5 acre site which includes a 4,500 ft2 office and 17,300 ft2 workshop where the company will manage their fleet of FMC Schilling Robotics and SAAB Seaeye ROVs. “The recent mobilisation of two Schilling Ultra-Heavy Duty (UHD) Generation III ROVs, capable of closing a blowout preventer (BOP) within 45 seconds to meet American Petroleum Institute (API) requirements, illustrates ROVOP’s commitment to supporting clients with industry leading technology in the Gulf of Mexico,” says Wagner - The Straits Times Index (STI) ended +0.01 points higher or 0.00% to 3447.02, taking the year-to-date performance to +2.43%. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained +0.02% while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index declined -0.04%. The top active stocks were CapitaLand (unchanged), SingTel (-0.23%), UOB (+0.22%), DBS (+0.15%) and ST Engineering (unchanged). The outperforming sectors today were represented by the FTSE ST Technology Index (+1.13%). The two biggest stocks of the FTSE ST Technology Index are Silverlake Axis (+1.83%) and STATS ChipPAC (unchanged). The underperforming sector was the FTSE ST Basic Materials Index, which declined -1.24% with Midas Holdings’s share price unchanged and Geo Energy Resources’s share price gaining+0.52%. The three most active Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) by value today were the DBXT MSCI Indonesia ETF (+0.14%), LYXOR China H (+0.29%), DBXT FT China 25 ETF (+1.75%).

The push and pull of willpower & politics

Friday, 25 May 2012
The push and pull of willpower & politics June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined.

If the Germans and French remain reluctant to put their money in the pockets by either using the ECB’s potential firepower or create a special eurobond then they could themselves become the very nemesis of the single currency that they tell us they are so desperate to keep. Even so, risk aversion continues to whittle down the markets; at the time of writing the index is at 5380, down some 25 points. Traders are watching term support trends at 5335, 5300 and 5275; hopeful bulls out there will be looking for resistance at 5490, 5615/45. This near term downward trend sees the index capped by a downward trend line that also puts some resistance at 5450. Over the longer term now that the index has broken below its 200 day moving average and its upward trend line a close below 5400 could been seen as very negative and we’re now in the ­territory of people not wanting to catch a falling knife.

While immediate market focus will remain on Europe and its affect on the macro picture, there are a couple of important pieces of data that UK investors should note. First, following a surprising improvement in April, unemployment numbers are likely to show a weakening labour market.  There’s little in the way of encouraging data from the UK at the moment, but last month’s data was the first ­indication that unemployment is ­starting to peak. Job creation has come largely from part time rather than ­permanent work and the tick downwards to 8.3% in the rate of unemployment is expected to rise back to 8.4%. Second, it will be interesting to see whether the upcoming Bank of England’s inflation report will encourage the central bank to stick to their hawkish guns or whether the ­confirmation of the double dip recession and a further downgrading of growth projections will result in a more dove-ish tone.



Other European indicators are not great either: Italian ten year yields have crossed back above 6% and for Spain back above 6.5%, meanwhile risk adverse investors piled into German bunds driving their cost of borrowing even lower. This is classic fear gripping the markets once again as the vicissitudes of 2012 look to be playing out in a very similar fashion to 2011. Financial markets detest uncertainty and at the moment they are riddled with them since Greece has been unable to form a government and has had to call for a new round of  elections on 17th June. Up until that point we can expect volatility to remain high and continued pressure to the downside.

The euro made a low of $1.2720 as the situation in Greece continues to deteriorate. Bears sold the single ­currency heavily after socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos announced that talks to form a coalition government had failed and that the public would have to go back to the polls next month. Gold continued to fall as traders dumped risky assets and piled into the safety of the US dollar. Spot gold traded as low as $1541 an ounce.  With little technical support seen until $1531 and no turn around in Greece on the horizon, the down trend looks set to stay firmly in place.

On top of all the European woes there’s also the growing concern that China is slowing down quicker than was previously thought. Add any downturn to the euro crisis and it has negative connotations for global growth.

As ever, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets...

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