Friday 22nd May 2015
NEWS TICKER: THURSDAY, MAY 21th: Moody's Japan has assigned rating of A1 to total of $2.5bn bonds due 2020 and 2025 issued by Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC). The rating outlook is stable.The debts are guaranteed by the Government of Japan. The specific debt issues rated are $1bn Fixed Rate bonds, Series 11 JBIC Government-Guaranteed Global USD Bond due 2020 and $1.5bn Fixed Rate bonds, Series 12 JBIC Government-Guaranteed Global USD Bond due 2025. Moody's concludes that the creditworthiness of JBIC reflects that of the sovereign, given the integration of its mandate with the government's foreign economic policies and the high level of government oversight of its operations – Salvepar’s combined general shareholders meeting yesterday approved a proposed ordinary dividend for fiscal year 2014 of €2.20 per ordinary share, and has decided that each shareholder will be allowed to opt for the payment of the dividend in full in cash, or for the payment of the dividend in full in ordinary shares, or for the payment half in cash and half in ordinary shares. The option to receive the dividend payment in new shares can be exercised by the Company’s shareholders between May 28th, 2015 and June 10th, 2015 (inclusive. After June 10th, 2015, the dividend can only be paid in cash. The maximum aggregate number of new ordinary shares of the company which may be issued is 455,888 shares, which represents 6.65% of the share capital and voting rights of the company as at the date of the General Meeting - Two WisdomTree equity index ETFs launched on Xetra ETFs based on Japanese and European companies with strong dividends - plus a currency hedge. Two new exchange-listed index funds issued by WisdomTree have been tradable on Xetra since Thursday. WisdomTree is primarily a Smart Beta ETF provider, using fundamental data to weight companies in the reference index. The new WisdomTree ETFs weight the stock corporations contained in the reference index on the basis of the annual dividends they pay. Companies with higher dividend yields have a heavier weighting. WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF is a USD Hedged Asset class: equity index ETF (ISIN: DE000A14SLH0), with a total expense ratio: 0.48% and is benchmarked against the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Index. The WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF - USD Hedged enables investors to participate in the performance of Japanese companies that generate at least 20% of their revenues outside Japan. The currency hedge covers the exchange rate risk of the Japanese yen to the US dollar. Meanwhile, the WisdomTree Europe Equity UCITS ETF - USD Hedged Asset class: equity index ETF (ISIN: DE000A14SLJ6) has a total expense ratio of 0.58%. The ETF provides access to the performance of European companies that generate at least 50 percent of their revenues outside Europe. This ETF also offers investors the additional benefit of the currency hedge, which reduces euro-US dollar exchange rate risk – PowerShares has launched an equity index ETF on Xetra, the first ETF for high dividend, low volatility US companies says the firm. PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility UCITS ETF Asset class: equity index ETF (ISIN: IE00BWTN6Y99) has a total expense ratio of 0.39% and benchmarked against the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index. The PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility UCITS ETF provides investors access for the first time to performance of US companies with high dividend yields and low volatility. The reference index firstly comprises 75 companies with the highest dividend yields from the S&P 500, and then proceeds to identify the 50 with the lowest volatility - MTN Rwanda shareholder, Crystal Telecom, launched its much-awaited Initial Public Offering (IPO) this morning. The company is selling a 20% stake in MTN Rwanda, the largest telecom operator in the country, to the public. The move is part of the strategy by Crystal Ventures, the holding company, of monetising their mature holdings in firms with the intention of redeploying the capital in early-stage enterprises.The IPO comes after the Capital Market Authority approved Crystal Telecom's application to float its MTN Rwanda shares on the stock exchange. Once listed, Crystal Telecom will become the third domestic company with shares trading at the bourse, after Bank of Kigali and Bralirwa. The last IPO at the stock exchange was in 2011 when Bank of Kigali listed its shares for trade at RWF125 each. Crystal Telecom shares starting price will be announced during the launch - Welltec’s revenues reduced in the first quarter of 2015 as mar¬ket activity contracted sharply in response to the lower oil price. This overshadowed growth in some geomarkets and the de¬cline in revenue was accentuated by strong currency headwinds. EBITDA reduced accordingly, with margin impacted by lower levels of utilisation and increased redeployment of fleet and per¬sonnel to match the local demand. Proactive cost management and working capital discipline allowed for improved cash flows in the period. Revenues of $68m were 14% lower compared to the same period last year. On an adjusted currency basis rev¬enues were 7% lower. In Europe, Middle East, Africa and Russia CIS (EMEAR), revenues decreased by 22% to $33m. Revenues in the Americas fell 8% to $25m, while Asia Pacific revenues were level at $10m.

The push and pull of willpower & politics

Friday, 25 May 2012
The push and pull of willpower & politics June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

June will be a battle between political will and economics. While European leaders continue to insist that they want Greece to remain in the eurozone, they are continually being reminded of the economic reality that a break-up of the single currency is almost certain. What is becoming more apparent day by day is that the markets will simply not allow the likes of Greece to have their cake and eat it without paying for it too. Whether Europe’s politicians will listen to those market siren calls for change has yet to be determined.

If the Germans and French remain reluctant to put their money in the pockets by either using the ECB’s potential firepower or create a special eurobond then they could themselves become the very nemesis of the single currency that they tell us they are so desperate to keep. Even so, risk aversion continues to whittle down the markets; at the time of writing the index is at 5380, down some 25 points. Traders are watching term support trends at 5335, 5300 and 5275; hopeful bulls out there will be looking for resistance at 5490, 5615/45. This near term downward trend sees the index capped by a downward trend line that also puts some resistance at 5450. Over the longer term now that the index has broken below its 200 day moving average and its upward trend line a close below 5400 could been seen as very negative and we’re now in the ­territory of people not wanting to catch a falling knife.

While immediate market focus will remain on Europe and its affect on the macro picture, there are a couple of important pieces of data that UK investors should note. First, following a surprising improvement in April, unemployment numbers are likely to show a weakening labour market.  There’s little in the way of encouraging data from the UK at the moment, but last month’s data was the first ­indication that unemployment is ­starting to peak. Job creation has come largely from part time rather than ­permanent work and the tick downwards to 8.3% in the rate of unemployment is expected to rise back to 8.4%. Second, it will be interesting to see whether the upcoming Bank of England’s inflation report will encourage the central bank to stick to their hawkish guns or whether the ­confirmation of the double dip recession and a further downgrading of growth projections will result in a more dove-ish tone.



Other European indicators are not great either: Italian ten year yields have crossed back above 6% and for Spain back above 6.5%, meanwhile risk adverse investors piled into German bunds driving their cost of borrowing even lower. This is classic fear gripping the markets once again as the vicissitudes of 2012 look to be playing out in a very similar fashion to 2011. Financial markets detest uncertainty and at the moment they are riddled with them since Greece has been unable to form a government and has had to call for a new round of  elections on 17th June. Up until that point we can expect volatility to remain high and continued pressure to the downside.

The euro made a low of $1.2720 as the situation in Greece continues to deteriorate. Bears sold the single ­currency heavily after socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos announced that talks to form a coalition government had failed and that the public would have to go back to the polls next month. Gold continued to fall as traders dumped risky assets and piled into the safety of the US dollar. Spot gold traded as low as $1541 an ounce.  With little technical support seen until $1531 and no turn around in Greece on the horizon, the down trend looks set to stay firmly in place.

On top of all the European woes there’s also the growing concern that China is slowing down quicker than was previously thought. Add any downturn to the euro crisis and it has negative connotations for global growth.

As ever, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets...

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