Saturday 26th July 2014
slib33
FRIDAY ANALYSTS TICKER: July 25th 2014 - According to Adam Cordery, global head of European fixed income, Santander Asset Management, and fund manager for the Santander Euro Corporate Short Term and Euro Corporate bond funds, “Pricing of risk assets doesn’t offer much of a margin for error at the moment. And now Europe is starting to go on holiday, market liquidity may get poorer than normal, and any buys today may well have to be holds until September. It is always interesting to note what yields are required to attract clients to financial products. Twenty years ago, bond funds offering yields of 10%+ could generally attract lots of client interest very quickly. However as rates have come down over the years, so the yields clients demand have fallen. Now 4% seems to be the new 10%, he say. Cordery thinks that unfortunately, investors often want today the yield/risk mix that was available last year, so the products that get launched, sold and bought in size may be more risky than people think. “Products with 4% yield will sell well today, but to get to a 4% yield in Euro you need to invest in a portfolio with an average rating of single-B, and that is far from being risk-free. I get the impression the conventional wisdom today is to think that interest rates must surely go up soon and the main risk to bond portfolios is an increase in bund yields. Because of this many investors are buying short-duration products and floating rate notes, perhaps viewing them as a safe choice, almost like cash. It is possible however that these products may yet prove to have a considerable sensitivity to changes in credit market spreads and/or bond market liquidity, and may prove to be no protection at all.” - Commenting on the RBS share price jump, Dr Pete Hahn of Cass Business School, says “It's hard to tell whether the RBS share price jump today is more about relief or optimism. The former is about fewer fines, fewer losses on loans, and fewer costs in a shrinking business and possibly dividends for shareholders. And there's the rub, owning shares (as opposed to interest bearing debt) should be about optimism and long-term growth in dividends. But from a shrinking business? Few would argue that RBS' retail and corporate bank had efficiencies to be gained and cash flow that might be converted to dividends; yet like most banks, RBS' cost of equity remains stubbornly and appropriately above its ability to provide a return on that equity. For shareholders, current improvements should mean dividends in the medium term but a recognition that RBS may lack any merit for new investment and delivering any long-term dividend growth - not good. While many large retail banks are getting safer, in some aspects, and we often speak of them in terms of moving toward utility type models, banks take risks, are cyclical, face competition, have new business challengers, and are simply are not utilities. Investors shouldn't get ahead of themselves here.” - According to the monthly survey held by the central bank of Turkey, the country’s capacity utilization (CU) rate declined slightly to 74.9% in July from 75.3% in June. Meanwhile, seasonally adjusted (SA) CU also declined to 74.3% from 74.7% in June, writes Mehmet Besimoglu at Oyak Yatirim Research. As for manufacturing confidence, the index declined to 109 from 110.7 in May. On SA basis, the index also edged down slightly to 106.4 from 107.2. SA capacity utilisation was broadly stable in 1H14, averaging at 74.7%. This is the same level with the 2013 average. Despite the political turmoil and volatility in financial markets, activity has been relatively resilient. Export recovery & government spending supported production in 1H. Following the elections, public spending relatively decelerated. The turmoil in Iraq also decelerated export recovery from June. Nevertheless, we still expect 3.5% GDP growth in 2014, writes Besimoglu.

FTSE & CÜREX Group launch FX indices

Friday, 15 June 2012
FTSE & CÜREX Group launch FX indices Global index provider FTSE and Cürex Group, a developer of intellectual property and technologies that link institutional foreign exchange with global capital markets, have the FTSE Cürex FX Index Series, a new range of independently calculated, 24/5 streaming, executable spot FX benchmark FIX for currency pairs and currency baskets. “The new index is designed to provide a better benchmark for managing currency risk and performance, and will likely support a wide range of passively managed FX currency funds and strategies,” holds Mark Makepeace, chief executive officer, FTSE Group. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Global index provider FTSE and Cürex Group, a developer of intellectual property and technologies that link institutional foreign exchange with global capital markets, have the FTSE Cürex FX Index Series, a new range of independently calculated, 24/5 streaming, executable spot FX benchmark FIX for currency pairs and currency baskets. “The new index is designed to provide a better benchmark for managing currency risk and performance, and will likely support a wide range of passively managed FX currency funds and strategies,” holds Mark Makepeace, chief executive officer, FTSE Group.

 

 

The FTSE Cürex FX Index Series provides the next generation of FX valuation and performance benchmarking for global capital markets. By establishing real-time bid and offer spot FX indices on 192 currency pairs (FTSE Cürex FIX), from multiple independent contributors and at multiple depths of liquidity, global capital markets benefit from improved clarity when viewing previously opaque foreign exchange pricing. William Dale, chairman and chief executive at Cürex Group explains that the new index series “represents a step forward in the evolution of the global foreign exchange marketplace [and] enables … both buy side and sell side leaders seeking to provide more competitive products and liquidity to the world’s capital markets.”   

New executable benchmark currency baskets include the flagship FTSE Cürex USD/G8 Index, an equally weighted, real-time index designed to provide an improved valuation of the US Dollar. The index consists of seven major currencies representative of global finance and commodity trading, plus the Chinese Renminbi—the most important emerging Asian reserve currency. These new benchmark FX Indices also can be used to measure the performance of active currency strategies, and provide new tools for investors seeking to express a ‘risk on/risk off’ trade.

New proprietary and patented technologies have been developed by Cürex Group specifically to connect previously fragmented foreign exchange market liquidity with investment products linked to FTSE Cürex FX Indices. These technologies, say FTSE Group, allow asset managers and their service providers to build custom FX Indices from proprietary or third party asset pricing models for both analytic and product development purposes. Cürex Intellectual Property will enable a new generation of both exchange-traded and OTC financial products that are linked to FTSE Cürex FX Indices and utilise Cürex technologies designed to directly link institutional foreign exchange liquidity to financial products tracking FTSE Cürex FX Indices. This new capability will allow passive asset managers to reduce tracking error and liquidity providers such as Delta One desks to improve their hedging and risk management practices.

Benchmark Execution (BE) and Benchmark or Better Execution (BOBE) models can now be employed by third-party electronic and voice brokering FX platforms via principal transactions or STP to the FTSE Cürex FX Index liquidity pool. These new benchmark FX Indices also can be used to measure relative performance of active currency overlay strategies. Investors seeking to express a ‘risk on / risk off’ trade can alsouse these indices to implement this trade.

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