Sunday 25th January 2015
FRIDAY, JANUARY 23RD 2015: European markets regulator ESMA has added Athens Exchange Clearing House to its list of authorised CCPs under the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR). EMIR requires EU-based CCPs to be authorised and non-EU CCPs to be recognised in the European Union (EU). The updated list of authorised CCPs is available on ESMA's website - Driven by strengthening private domestic demand, economic growth in the US is expected to accelerate modestly this year and drag last year’s unspectacular housing activity upward, according to Fannie Mae’s Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) Group. Amid continued low gasoline prices, a firming labour market conditions, rising household net worth, improving consumer and business confidence, and reduced fiscal headwinds, the economy is expected to climb to 3.1% in 2015, up from the Group’s estimate of 2.7% in the prior forecast. The stronger economic backdrop should lead to improving income prospects, underpinning a higher rate of household formation in 2015. "Our theme for the year, Economy Drags Housing Upward, implies that both housing and the economy will pick up some speed in 2015, but that the economy will grow at a faster pace," says Fannie Mae chief economist Doug Duncan. "We have revised upward our full-year economic growth forecast to 3.1% for 2015, which is not yet robust but still an improvement over last year’s growth. Consumer spending should continue to strengthen due in large part to lower gas prices, giving further support to auto sales and manufacturing. We believe this will motivate the Federal Reserve to begin measures to normalize monetary policy in the third quarter of this year, continuing at a cautiously steady pace into 2016 and 2017, likely keeping interest rates relatively low for some time." - The Russian Central bank said yesterday that its gold reserves grew by a 600,000 ounces (18.7 tonnes) in December – the ninth successive month of gold reserve increases. Russia has now more than tripled its gold reserves in the past ten years. The ruble has fallen in value by almost 50% in the past 12 months which makes the nation’s gold reserves ever more important to its global economic status – According to LuxCSD the Taiwan Depository and Clearing Corporation (TDCC) has announced, effective Sunday (January 25th) the firm’s BIC will change from TDCCTWT1 to TDCCTWTP. Customers should quote the TDCC's new BIC in field 95P::PSET//TDCCTWTP of their settlement instructions – Moody's today upgraded the Corporate Family Rating (CFR) of Stabilus S.A. to B1 from B2 and the Probability of Default Rating (PDR) to B1-PD from B2-PD. At the same time the rating agency upgraded the instrument ratings assigned to the Senior Secured Notes issued by Servus Luxembourg Holding S.C.A. to B1 from B2. The outlook on all ratings remains positive – The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says its daily Fed Funds effective rate is now 0.12% (Low 0.30%, High 0.3125%) with four basis points of standard deviation - Vanguard Group, already the biggest mutual fund company in the world, has risen to second place as a provider of exchange-traded funds, says ETF.com—based on the success of its low-cost index funds, including ETFs. Boston-based State Street Global Advisors, has dropped from second to third. Even so, SSGA still has the largest ETF in the world, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY | A-98) - The Straits Times Index (STI) ended +41.21 points higher or +1.22% to 3411.5, taking the year-to-date performance to +1.38%. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained +0.97% while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index gained +0.23%. The top active stocks were CapitaLand (+4.09%), DBS (+0.80%), SingTel (+0.76%), UOB (+0.72%) and Noble (-0.47%). The outperforming sectors today were represented by the FTSE ST Real Estate Holding and Development Index (+2.31%). The two biggest stocks of the FTSE ST Real Estate Holding and Development Index are Hongkong Land Holdings (+1.18%) and Global Logistic Properties (+1.57%). The underperforming sector was the FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index, which gained +0.16% with Keppel Corp’s share price unchanged and Sembcorp Industries’s share price declining +0.93%. The three most active Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) by value today were the SPDR Gold Shares (+0.77%), IS MSCI India (+1.89%), DBXT MSCI Asia Ex Japan ETF (+1.57%) –

BlackRock index update reveals global market moves

Wednesday, 16 January 2013
BlackRock index update reveals global market moves BlackRock has released its quarterly update of the BlackRock Sovereign Risk Index (BSRI), showing key movements by Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, South Africa and the United States. The BSRI provides investors with a framework for tracking sovereign credit risk in 48 countries, drawing on a pool of financial data, surveys and political insights. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

BlackRock has released its quarterly update of the BlackRock Sovereign Risk Index (BSRI), showing key movements by Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, South Africa and the United States. The BSRI provides investors with a framework for tracking sovereign credit risk in 48 countries, drawing on a pool of financial data, surveys and political insights.

The update also contacts the newly created interactive BSRI, which allows for viewing individual country scores, comparing two countries and sorting overall rankings by index components. The BSRI was developed through the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII) in June 2011, in recognition of the growing focus by investors around world on sovereign risk debt. The BSRI uses more than 30 quantitative measures, complemented by qualitative insights from third-party sources.

Highlights of the report include Japan’s fall in the rankings as a result of its sharply deteriorating fiscal balance – a space worth monitoring in 2013 as a new government and central bank governor settle in. “The fiscal profile of Japan worsened enough to cause it to slip two spots to 35th place, even as its other BSRI components improved. Japan now ranks just ahead of South Africa but below the likes of Turkey, Indonesia and Slovakia,” according to the BII.



The US remained at 15th place even as it teetered on the edge of the “fiscal cliff” of automatic tax hikes and spending cuts. "The last-minute deal was better than nothing, we think, but its limited scope means more tortured budget talks – and market volatility – ahead,” BII strategists said.

China, Australia and New Zealand moved up in the rankings, with Australia jumping three spots due to an improved primary budget balance. “China rose two spots to 16th place on the back of higher government revenues as a percentage of GDP. China’s ‘Willingness to Pay score’ improved due to the relatively smooth once-a-decade leadership change,” according to the report.

India remained at 39th place, but the country’s profile improved on most fronts, according to the BII: “India’s ‘Fiscal Space’ improved on a lower debt-to-GDP level and an improving primary balance. Among major BSRI movements, the BII also noted that South Africa dropped two notches to 36th place: “South Africa slid two spots to 36th place mainly due to a rapidly worsening current account deficit. Anecdotal evidence has money fleeing the country at a rapid pace, and the BSRI appears to reflect this.”

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