Friday 1st August 2014
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THURSDAY TICKER: 31ST JULY 2014 - Standard & Poor's says Argentina is in selective default on foreign-currency-denominated debt, after the government failed to make a $539m payment on $13bn in restructured bonds. Argentina had transferred the money to the paying agent, but a US judge would not allow its release unless hedge funds holding bonds not included in a restructuring also were paid. The latest default is expected to exacerbate problems in Argentina's recession-hit economy, analysts say. This is the second time Argentina has defaulted on its debt in the last thirteen years, after last-minute talks in New York with a group of bond-holders ended in failure. Vulture fund" investors were demanding a full pay-out of $1.3bn (£766m) on bonds they hold. Argentina has said it cannot afford to do so, and has accused them of using its debt problems to make profits - In a regulatory filing made public earlier this week, and US press reports, BlackRock has begun the process of establishing a Wholly Foreign-Owned Enterprise (WFOE) in Shanghai. The firm is reportedly creating an investment advisory WFOE which will give it significantly greater flexibility and speed in executing its Greater China strategies – Shares in Chinese footwear manufacturer Feike AG have been listed on the General Standard of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Ten million shares have been listed at an initial price of €7.50. ACON Aktienbank AG is supporting the issue. Scheich & Partner Börsenmakler GmbH is the specialist. This is the third Chinese company to list on the exchange according to managing director Michael Krogmann. “With the IPO we have achieved an important strategic milestone. This helps us to expand our competitive position and our brand awareness in the booming Chinese market for children’s footwear as well as to realise future growth plans”, says Andy Hock Sim Liew, CFO of Feike AG - Funding pressures stemming from reduced central government capital grants and the persistence of tightened long-term bank lending are likely to fuel the English housing association sector's continued use of capital markets over the next two years, says Moody's Investors Service in a new report published today. The new report English Housing Associations: Financial Disintermediation- A One Way Trip, is the third in a series on European sub-sovereigns' financing needs and access to market funding.

BofA Merrill Lynch says Investor market sentiment slowly improving in Europe

Tuesday, 14 August 2012
BofA Merrill Lynch says Investor market sentiment slowly improving in Europe Bank of America Merrill Lynch today presented the results of their August Fund Manager Survey, reporting a global increase in investor confidence buoyed by expectations of ECB policy initiatives. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Bank of America Merrill Lynch today presented the results of their August Fund Manager Survey, reporting a global increase in investor confidence buoyed by expectations of ECB policy initiatives.

Fully 80% of the 173 fund managers surveyed by BoAML at the start of the month believed that the ECB would engage in additional quantitative easing by the year end (and ~40% within the next month), compared to fewer than 50% who thought the Federal Reserve would take measures in the USA this year.

European equities strategist at the bank, Manish Kabra, said, “Draghi’s statements have been largely successful in removing investor pessimism and have alleviated some pressure on the Eurozone- global asset allocations are still underweight towards Europe, but we have seen the largest uptick in sentiment since early 2009.”

This sentiment has been expressed by increased asset allocation in the Eurozone, whilst fund managers are moving to reduce previously overweight positions in US equities. Kabra states, “Earnings season hasn’t been great in the US- particularly technologies, but we are seeing sentiment to real estate improving on the back of US stabilisation in the sector.”

Less than 10% of managers are now ruling out any form of QE by the ECB due to the promise of policy stimulus, and overall positions are showing small shifts in favour of equities and commodities over bonds. Cash holdings were slightly reduced but remain at historically high levels of 4.7% portfolio value. It is worth noting that despite the improving sentiment, attitudes to Europe are still net 13% negative overall. The ECB’s rhetoric has calmed nerves, but needs to translate into action or the Eurozone equity rally could be short-lived.

Globally, investor outlook has improved in the past month- fears over the Eurozone have diminished (although are still listed as the premier global tail risk) and growth expectation have risen. However, as the January 1st 2013 expiry date for the Bush tax cuts approaches, the fear of the US “fiscal cliff” as number one global risk have increased by 16%.

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