Wednesday 23rd July 2014
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The Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) has been transformed into a company from a mutual society, opening the way for a public listing on the bourse it operates. The ZSE has been owned and run by stock brokers since 1946, but after demutualisation the brokers now hold 68% while the government owns the remaining shares. The Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) alerts the financial services community and members of the public to misuse of the DFSA's name. It has come to the DFSA's attention that a fraudulent email purporting to be from the DFSA has been sent to a number of firms both inside and outside the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC). The false email: purports to be about a "DFSA Anti-Money Laundering Violation"; appears to come from "Amina Alshehi" from "Audit & Compliance"; attaches a "non-compliance notice"; and uses legitimate DFSA contact details. The email is fake, warns the DFSA. - Surecomp, the provider of trade finance solutions for banks and corporations, says Nordea has gone live in Frankfurt and London with the stand-alone version of allNETT, Surecomp's Web-based trade finance front-end solution – Saudi’s Kingdom Holding Company announced a net income for the second quarter this year of SAR211.7m up 16.8% on the previous quarter. The gross operating profit was SAR420.3m up 26.2% on the same quarter in 2013. Mohammed Fahmy CFO, says: “The second payment of dividends has been deposited in shareholders’ accounts. The outlook for the company’s profitability remains strong.” - Northern Trust has reported a 20 percent rise in assets under custody and a 15% rise in assets under management for Q2 2014 compared to Q2 2013.The Corporate and Institutional Services (C&IS) and wealth management businesses also report a 9% rise in custody and fund administration services, investment management and securities lending. Frederick Waddell, the bank’s chief executive officer, says, “Our business continued to expand in the second quarter as trust, investment and other servicing fees, which represent 65% of revenue, increased 8% compared to last year and assets under custody and under management increased 20% and 15%, respectively.” - In the latest Investment Quarterly for Q3 2014, Renee Chen, Macro and Investment Strategist at HSBC Global Asset Management, looks at the investment prospects throughout the Asia region. Chen identifies macro trends that are likely to shape investment themes in Asian markets, such as economic policy reforms, economic rebalancing and regional cooperation and integration that will provide a wide diversity of investment opportunities in relevant sectors. Financial deepening, in terms of financial system reform and deregulation and capital market developments, is another macro theme. HSBC continues to see opportunities in various sectors that could potentially benefit from structural reforms in several Asian countries. In particular, effective implementation of reforms could lead to a sustainable improvement in economic fundamentals and the growth prospects of China and India, prompting a reform-led re-rating of Chinese and Indian stocks. The continued search for yield resulted in decent H1 performance in Asian credit markets and there has been continued investor appetite for emerging Asian bonds, but Chen cautions that valuations could become a constraint, with limited room for further spread compression in some sectors and markets. However, the still-low default rates and overall healthy level of leverage among Asian companies on the back of overall sound Asian economic fundamentals provide a solid base for Asian credit market in the medium-to-long term.

Commodity ETPs in demand as China outlook Improves

Wednesday, 09 July 2014
Commodity ETPs in demand as China outlook Improves Global Commodity ETPs saw a second consecutive quarter of inflows in Q2 2014, as increasing confidence in China’s economic outlook and global economic recovery boosted commodity prices and investor demand for commodity exposure. Inflows totalled $275m, up from $271m of inflows in Q1 2014. The combination of inflows and higher prices pushed assets under management (AUM) in commodity ETPs at the end of Q2 2014 to $123.3bn from $122.4bn at the end of Q1 2014. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Global Commodity ETPs saw a second consecutive quarter of inflows in Q2 2014, as increasing confidence in China’s economic outlook and global economic recovery boosted commodity prices and investor demand for commodity exposure. Inflows totalled $275m, up from $271m of inflows in Q1 2014. The combination of inflows and higher prices pushed assets under management (AUM) in commodity ETPs at the end of Q2 2014 to $123.3bn from $122.4bn at the end of Q1 2014.

]  “All key commodity sectors saw inflows during the quarter except for agriculture and livestock.  Precious metals saw the strongest investor demand with $430m of inflows, followed by diversified broad commodity ETPs with $172m, energy with $135m and industrial metals with a more modest $15m.  Agriculture and livestock saw $477m of outflows. Increasing confidence in the US recovery, a positive turn in China growth after three years of slowdown, and expected further easing measures by China’s policy-makers has boosted prices and investor sentiment towards commodities,” says Nicholas Brooks, head of research and investment strategy at ETF Securities.

Commodity ETPs with the strongest demand in Q2 were platinum and palladium, with $400m and $410m of inflows respectively. Rising global auto demand (autocatalysts are a key source of demand for both metals) together with rising supply concerns due to mine strikes in South Africa and potential Russia export restrictions has exacerbated fears that already large supply deficits will worsen and has pushed prices higher for both metals.  We anticipate these trends will continue in H2.

Gold ETPs saw mixed flows, with US listed gold ETPs seeing $586m of outflows while Europe and other country listed gold ETPs saw $483m of inflows, leading to net quarterly outflows of $103m. Most of the divergence in the gold ETP flow trends took place in April.  The most likely explanation for the divergence is that during that period European investors were focusing on the close-to-home potential risks of a Russian invasion of the Ukraine, while US investors mostly maintained their bullish view on risk assets as US equities continued to hit new highs. With geopolitical risks still high and many risky asset classes trading at stretched valuations, we believe gold ETP demand will continue to improve in H2 2014 as investors look for hedges against possible risk market corrections.

Diversified broad commodity ETPs saw the largest inflows after platinum and palladium, with total inflows of $172m in Q2. The inflows reflect improving sentiment towards commodities as an asset class as China growth has shown signs of picking up and China policy-makers have made clear they are moving into stimulus mode after three years of tightening. It is interesting to note that the largest inflows were into diversified broad commodity ETPs that exclude agriculture, with $89m of new flows into these ETPs versus $75m into those that include agriculture, highlighting generally negative investor views towards agriculture. 

Agriculture ETPs as a group saw $468m of outflows, with broad diversified seeing the largest outflows followed by sugar, corn, cocoa and coffee. The outflows are likely a combination of profit-taking and expectations of improved growing conditions for a number of key agriculture commodities. If an El Nino weather event occurs later this year (current NOAA forecasts put the probability at 70%), speculative flows may return.

Energy ETPs saw $175m of inflows in Q2, with most of the flows ($169m) going into oil ETPs. Increasing violence in Iraq has raised concerns about supply disruptions, pushed oil prices higher and driven oil ETP demand higher. Natural gas ETPs saw $21m of outflows as investors took profits on the natural gas price surge earlier in the year. Industrial metals saw a modest $15m of inflows, with nickel seeing the strongest inflows ($38m) as Indonesia’s ban on ore exports drove prices higher.

 

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