Saturday 26th July 2014
slib33
FRIDAY ANALYSTS TICKER: July 25th 2014 - According to Adam Cordery, global head of European fixed income, Santander Asset Management, and fund manager for the Santander Euro Corporate Short Term and Euro Corporate bond funds, “Pricing of risk assets doesn’t offer much of a margin for error at the moment. And now Europe is starting to go on holiday, market liquidity may get poorer than normal, and any buys today may well have to be holds until September. It is always interesting to note what yields are required to attract clients to financial products. Twenty years ago, bond funds offering yields of 10%+ could generally attract lots of client interest very quickly. However as rates have come down over the years, so the yields clients demand have fallen. Now 4% seems to be the new 10%, he say. Cordery thinks that unfortunately, investors often want today the yield/risk mix that was available last year, so the products that get launched, sold and bought in size may be more risky than people think. “Products with 4% yield will sell well today, but to get to a 4% yield in Euro you need to invest in a portfolio with an average rating of single-B, and that is far from being risk-free. I get the impression the conventional wisdom today is to think that interest rates must surely go up soon and the main risk to bond portfolios is an increase in bund yields. Because of this many investors are buying short-duration products and floating rate notes, perhaps viewing them as a safe choice, almost like cash. It is possible however that these products may yet prove to have a considerable sensitivity to changes in credit market spreads and/or bond market liquidity, and may prove to be no protection at all.” - Commenting on the RBS share price jump, Dr Pete Hahn of Cass Business School, says “It's hard to tell whether the RBS share price jump today is more about relief or optimism. The former is about fewer fines, fewer losses on loans, and fewer costs in a shrinking business and possibly dividends for shareholders. And there's the rub, owning shares (as opposed to interest bearing debt) should be about optimism and long-term growth in dividends. But from a shrinking business? Few would argue that RBS' retail and corporate bank had efficiencies to be gained and cash flow that might be converted to dividends; yet like most banks, RBS' cost of equity remains stubbornly and appropriately above its ability to provide a return on that equity. For shareholders, current improvements should mean dividends in the medium term but a recognition that RBS may lack any merit for new investment and delivering any long-term dividend growth - not good. While many large retail banks are getting safer, in some aspects, and we often speak of them in terms of moving toward utility type models, banks take risks, are cyclical, face competition, have new business challengers, and are simply are not utilities. Investors shouldn't get ahead of themselves here.” - According to the monthly survey held by the central bank of Turkey, the country’s capacity utilization (CU) rate declined slightly to 74.9% in July from 75.3% in June. Meanwhile, seasonally adjusted (SA) CU also declined to 74.3% from 74.7% in June, writes Mehmet Besimoglu at Oyak Yatirim Research. As for manufacturing confidence, the index declined to 109 from 110.7 in May. On SA basis, the index also edged down slightly to 106.4 from 107.2. SA capacity utilisation was broadly stable in 1H14, averaging at 74.7%. This is the same level with the 2013 average. Despite the political turmoil and volatility in financial markets, activity has been relatively resilient. Export recovery & government spending supported production in 1H. Following the elections, public spending relatively decelerated. The turmoil in Iraq also decelerated export recovery from June. Nevertheless, we still expect 3.5% GDP growth in 2014, writes Besimoglu.

Creditor's steering committee formed for BTA Bank

Monday, 06 February 2012
Creditor's steering committee formed for BTA Bank Kazakhstan's BTA Bank says that following the meetings arranged over the past two weeks with holders of the bank’s senior, OID and subordinated Notes, its recovery units and participants in the RCTFF, a steering committee has now been formed to represent the interests of its various creditor stakeholders. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Kazakhstan's BTA Bank says that following the meetings arranged over the past two weeks with holders of the bank’s senior, OID and subordinated Notes, its recovery units and participants in the RCTFF, a steering committee has now been formed to represent the interests of its various creditor stakeholders.

The steering committee comprises a diversified and representative group of the bank’s public and private sector creditors and includes certain funds and accounts managed or advised by Ashmore Investment Management Limited, the Asian Development Bank, the DE Shaw Group, FFTW UK Limited – a BNP Paribas investment partner, Gramercy Funds Management LLC, JP Morgan Securities Ltd, Nomura International plc and VR Capital Group Ltd.

A seat on the steering committee is also reserved for the Swedish Export Credits Guarantee Board (EKN, which has been participating on a preliminary basis for the purposes of forming the steering committee) and a seat is also reserved for a representative of participants in the RCTFF.

Members of the steering committee collectively hold the Bank’s Senior Notes, OID Notes, Subordinated Notes and Recovery Units. A meeting of the steering committe and its legal advisors is expected to take place on February 8th.

Anvar Saidenov, BTA's chairman says, “We welcome the establishment of the steering committee, which is an important step forward in the bank's restructuring plans. [We recognise] the importance of building a broad consensus for the restructuring process and is pleased by the diversity of creditors and believes that the steering committee will be effective given their representation and restructuring experience. While much work remains to be done we believe that, with goodwill and constructive engagement on all sides, the Steering Committee can help us to arrive at the best solution for the Bank and all its stakeholders.”

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