Monday 22nd December 2014
NEWS TICKER: FRIDAY DECEMBER 19TH 2014: Scotiabank’s Commodity Price Index dropped -4.8% m/m in November (-6.1% yr/yr) and will end 2014 in a ‘deflationary’ mode, says economist Patricia Mohr. "Significant capacity expansion and the defence of market share by major oil and iron ore producers— against a backdrop of lacklustre world economic growth — account for the softness at the end of the year," she says. Mohr adds that the decision by Saudi Arabia not to reduce output to shore up international oil prices, but instead to allow prices to drop to levels curbing US shale development appears to be having a negative impact on confidence in a wide variety of other commodity as well as equity markets. She predicts prices will fall further this month, but will start to rebound in mid 201 - Jonathan Hill, the EU's financial-services commissioner, says he plans to pursue rules that separate a bank's proprietary trading from retail operations. "The sensible thing to do is to seek to make progress quickly" on the issue, Hill said. "There are still areas of risk in some of the biggest and most complicated banks,” reports Bloomberg- CME Group, said yesterday that it will change daily price limits in its CME Feeder Cattle futures effective today, pursuant to its emergency action authority. The current daily price limit for CME Feeder Cattle futures is $3.00 per hundredweight and will change to $4.50 per hundredweight effective on trade date December 18th Additionally, effective December 19th (tomorrow) these limits will have the ability to expand by 150% to $6.75 per hundredweight on any business day in the event that one of the first two contract months settles at limit on the previous trading day. CME Feeder Cattle futures have been locked limit for five consecutive days as a result of various factors. The change to daily price limits is necessary to ensure continued price discovery and risk transfer, says the CME. Daily price limits for CME Live Cattle futures will remain unchanged at $3.00 per hundredweight. Effective Friday, December 19th, these limits will have the ability to expand by 150 percent to $4.50 per hundredweight in the event that one of the first two contract months settles at limit on the previous trading day - The Straits Times Index (STI) ended +16.42 points higher or +0.51% to 3243.65, taking the year-to-date performance to +2.49%. The FTSE ST Mid Cap Index gained +0.29% while the FTSE ST Small Cap Index gained +0.71%. The top active stocks were Keppel Corp (+2.68%), SingTel (-1.02%), DBS (+2.36%), Global Logistic (-3.21%) and UOB (+0.30%). The outperforming sectors today were represented by the FTSE ST Basic Materials Index (+3.13%). The two biggest stocks of the FTSE ST Basic Materials Index are Midas Holdings (+6.38%) and Geo Energy Resources (unchanged). The underperforming sector was the FTSE ST Telecommunications Index, which declined -0.98% with SingTel’s share price declining -1.02% and StarHub’s share price declining-0.73%. The three most active Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) by value today were the IS MSCI India (+2.56%), DBXT CSI300 ETF (+0.42%), STI ETF (+0.61%). The three most active Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) by value were Ascendas REIT (-0.42%), Keppel DC REIT (unchanged), Suntec REIT (+0.26%). The most active index warrants by value today were HSI23400MBeCW150129 (+7.32%), HSI22600MBePW150129 (unchanged), HSI24000MBeCW150129 (+12.50%). The most active stock warrants by value today were KepCorp MBeCW150602 (+21.95%), DBS MB eCW150420 (+29.29%), DBS MB ePW150402 (-18.03%) - Spain’s Director of Public Prosecutions, Eduardo Torres Dulce, has resigned from the post for “personal reasons”, Spanish daily El Mundo reported this morning. A spokesman for the Public Prosecutor’s office confirmed the news by telephone to The Spain Report, saying that Mr. Torres Dulce had informed Justice Minister Rafael Catalá of his decision: “but that it perhaps would not come into effect until they find a replacement”. That decision is taken at cabinet level. The next cabinet meeting for Rajoy’s government is tomorrow morning - Hedge funds including Marshall Wace, Odey Asset Management and Lansdowne Partners are shorting OTP Bank Plc, a Hungarian lender with a Russian subsidiary whose shares have fallen almost 6% this month reports Albourne Village. All three London-based funds took or increased their position this month in OTP, Hungary’s largest lender, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The ruble rose today in Moscow after plunging as much as 19%against the dollar yesterday, when Russia’s central bank increased interest rates to 17% percent from 10.5 percent in an attempt to stem the decline. The ruble is down 52% this year and has taken a disproportionate beating in the wake of sanctions and falling oil prices. The country still has the third largest currency reserves in the world and so is unlikely to default. According to Eric Chaney, Manolis Davradakis and Greg Venizelos from AXA IM’s Research and Investment Strategy team Russia will likely resort to fiscal stimulus to contain the risk of social and political unrest. Capital controls, political unrest and even default on private hard currency debts are possible outcomes they say. They credit default swaps market is pricing a one-third probability of sovereign default within five years - Indonesia is ramping up financing for its $439bn development program, planning an almost fivefold increase in sales of project sukuk. The government is seeking to raise IDR7.14trn rupiah (around $568m) from notes that will fund particular construction ventures next year, compared with IDR1.5trn this year, which say local press reports, will help finance its estimated spending of about IDR5,519trn from 2015 to 2019 to build roads, railways and power plants.

Ireland’s central bank issues consultation on post-AIFMD non-UCITs funds regime

Wednesday, 14 November 2012
Ireland’s central bank issues consultation on post-AIFMD non-UCITs funds regime The Central Bank of Ireland has released a public consultation proposing enhancements to its non-UCITS regime in preparation for the implementation of the European Union’s (EU’S) Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The implementation of AIFMD will give rise to substantial changes to the non-UCITS funds industry. It is proposed that the current Qualifying Investor Fund (QIF) regime in Ireland will be replaced with a new Qualifying Investor Alternative Investment Fund (QIAIF) regime. For retail investors in non-UCITS products, a separate Retail Investor Alternative Investment Fund (RIAIF) regime will be created. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

The Central Bank of Ireland has released a public consultation proposing enhancements to its non-UCITS regime in preparation for the implementation of the European Union’s (EU’S) Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The implementation of AIFMD will give rise to substantial changes to the non-UCITS funds industry. It is proposed that the current Qualifying Investor Fund (QIF) regime in Ireland will be replaced with a new Qualifying Investor Alternative Investment Fund (QIAIF) regime. For retail investors in non-UCITS products, a separate Retail Investor Alternative Investment Fund (RIAIF) regime will be created.

Some fundamental changes set out by the Central Bank of Ireland at the end of October in its consultation paper on the implementation of Europe’s Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) is designed to help strengthen Ireland’s attractiveness to international managers. Fearghal Woods, chairman of the Irish Funds Industry Association (IFIA) explains, “the authorities in Ireland are making significant progress towards implementing a range of legislative and other measures to enable the broadest possible range of regulated structures for alternative investment managers of all types to coincide with the introduction of the AIFMD directive and that will help maintain Ireland's position as a leading funds jurisdiction".

Interested market participants have six weeks to let the central bank know their comments on the proposed changes. Usually open consultations of this kind are allotted 12 weeks, but given that the AIFMD rules come into force in July 2013, time is of the essence and the central bank has opted for a shorter consultation process. “The central bank is sending out a strong signal that it is aware of change in the non-UCITS world and this consultation not only reflects the changes that are happening but seeks to anticipate future changes,” explains Kieran Fox, head of business development at IFIA.



Core to proposed changes to the country’s non-UCITS investment regime is the consolidation of the country’s regulatory book into a new single handbook covering all regulation for AIFMs. This consolidation will see the removal of countless minor regulatory requirements which have come into place over the years. “It is a game changer,” concedes Fox, “and it is clear that we have moved from a complex regulatory structure, that involves non-UCITS notice documents, and a dozen or so guidance notes and policy documents as well as an array of other ad hoc regulations towards it being brought into one handbook with appropriate chapters covering key market segments.”

According to the central bank, these changes will result in a more efficient and streamlined regulatory environment for all types of alternative investment funds in the country. “The timing of this consultation process will allow managers to establish AIFMD compliant funds in time for the implementation of the EU directive in July of next year,” explains Eoin Fitzgerald, managing director, Morgan Stanley Fund Services, and a member of IFIA Council, which leads industry engagement.

The central bank is proposing the redesign of its AIF regime to optimise its reliance on European regulatory requirements, or at least those set out in the AIFMD; the creation of a higher risk AIF option to UCITS for retail investors; the elimination of regulations on QIAIFs that are not substantially adding to the protection of investors as well as the application of the AIFMD depositary regime to all authorised AIFs, including those with AIFM below certain thresholds.

Changes to share class rules, the issuance of partly paid units and the removal of existing property fund rules will make it more attractive and easier to establish both private equity and property funds in Ireland. IFIA chief executive Pat Lardner explains that with 40% of the world’s hedge funds serviced in the country, “Ireland is the leading global centre for the domiciling and servicing of alternative investments.”

For more on this story, read the November edition of FTSE Global Markets, or visit the website: www.ftseglobalmarkets.com from Friday onwards.

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