Monday 28th July 2014
slib33
FRIDAY ANALYSTS TICKER: July 25th 2014 - According to Adam Cordery, global head of European fixed income, Santander Asset Management, and fund manager for the Santander Euro Corporate Short Term and Euro Corporate bond funds, “Pricing of risk assets doesn’t offer much of a margin for error at the moment. And now Europe is starting to go on holiday, market liquidity may get poorer than normal, and any buys today may well have to be holds until September. It is always interesting to note what yields are required to attract clients to financial products. Twenty years ago, bond funds offering yields of 10%+ could generally attract lots of client interest very quickly. However as rates have come down over the years, so the yields clients demand have fallen. Now 4% seems to be the new 10%, he say. Cordery thinks that unfortunately, investors often want today the yield/risk mix that was available last year, so the products that get launched, sold and bought in size may be more risky than people think. “Products with 4% yield will sell well today, but to get to a 4% yield in Euro you need to invest in a portfolio with an average rating of single-B, and that is far from being risk-free. I get the impression the conventional wisdom today is to think that interest rates must surely go up soon and the main risk to bond portfolios is an increase in bund yields. Because of this many investors are buying short-duration products and floating rate notes, perhaps viewing them as a safe choice, almost like cash. It is possible however that these products may yet prove to have a considerable sensitivity to changes in credit market spreads and/or bond market liquidity, and may prove to be no protection at all.” - Commenting on the RBS share price jump, Dr Pete Hahn of Cass Business School, says “It's hard to tell whether the RBS share price jump today is more about relief or optimism. The former is about fewer fines, fewer losses on loans, and fewer costs in a shrinking business and possibly dividends for shareholders. And there's the rub, owning shares (as opposed to interest bearing debt) should be about optimism and long-term growth in dividends. But from a shrinking business? Few would argue that RBS' retail and corporate bank had efficiencies to be gained and cash flow that might be converted to dividends; yet like most banks, RBS' cost of equity remains stubbornly and appropriately above its ability to provide a return on that equity. For shareholders, current improvements should mean dividends in the medium term but a recognition that RBS may lack any merit for new investment and delivering any long-term dividend growth - not good. While many large retail banks are getting safer, in some aspects, and we often speak of them in terms of moving toward utility type models, banks take risks, are cyclical, face competition, have new business challengers, and are simply are not utilities. Investors shouldn't get ahead of themselves here.” - According to the monthly survey held by the central bank of Turkey, the country’s capacity utilization (CU) rate declined slightly to 74.9% in July from 75.3% in June. Meanwhile, seasonally adjusted (SA) CU also declined to 74.3% from 74.7% in June, writes Mehmet Besimoglu at Oyak Yatirim Research. As for manufacturing confidence, the index declined to 109 from 110.7 in May. On SA basis, the index also edged down slightly to 106.4 from 107.2. SA capacity utilisation was broadly stable in 1H14, averaging at 74.7%. This is the same level with the 2013 average. Despite the political turmoil and volatility in financial markets, activity has been relatively resilient. Export recovery & government spending supported production in 1H. Following the elections, public spending relatively decelerated. The turmoil in Iraq also decelerated export recovery from June. Nevertheless, we still expect 3.5% GDP growth in 2014, writes Besimoglu.

Ireland’s central bank issues consultation on post-AIFMD non-UCITs funds regime

Wednesday, 14 November 2012
Ireland’s central bank issues consultation on post-AIFMD non-UCITs funds regime The Central Bank of Ireland has released a public consultation proposing enhancements to its non-UCITS regime in preparation for the implementation of the European Union’s (EU’S) Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The implementation of AIFMD will give rise to substantial changes to the non-UCITS funds industry. It is proposed that the current Qualifying Investor Fund (QIF) regime in Ireland will be replaced with a new Qualifying Investor Alternative Investment Fund (QIAIF) regime. For retail investors in non-UCITS products, a separate Retail Investor Alternative Investment Fund (RIAIF) regime will be created. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

The Central Bank of Ireland has released a public consultation proposing enhancements to its non-UCITS regime in preparation for the implementation of the European Union’s (EU’S) Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The implementation of AIFMD will give rise to substantial changes to the non-UCITS funds industry. It is proposed that the current Qualifying Investor Fund (QIF) regime in Ireland will be replaced with a new Qualifying Investor Alternative Investment Fund (QIAIF) regime. For retail investors in non-UCITS products, a separate Retail Investor Alternative Investment Fund (RIAIF) regime will be created.

Some fundamental changes set out by the Central Bank of Ireland at the end of October in its consultation paper on the implementation of Europe’s Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) is designed to help strengthen Ireland’s attractiveness to international managers. Fearghal Woods, chairman of the Irish Funds Industry Association (IFIA) explains, “the authorities in Ireland are making significant progress towards implementing a range of legislative and other measures to enable the broadest possible range of regulated structures for alternative investment managers of all types to coincide with the introduction of the AIFMD directive and that will help maintain Ireland's position as a leading funds jurisdiction".

Interested market participants have six weeks to let the central bank know their comments on the proposed changes. Usually open consultations of this kind are allotted 12 weeks, but given that the AIFMD rules come into force in July 2013, time is of the essence and the central bank has opted for a shorter consultation process. “The central bank is sending out a strong signal that it is aware of change in the non-UCITS world and this consultation not only reflects the changes that are happening but seeks to anticipate future changes,” explains Kieran Fox, head of business development at IFIA.

Core to proposed changes to the country’s non-UCITS investment regime is the consolidation of the country’s regulatory book into a new single handbook covering all regulation for AIFMs. This consolidation will see the removal of countless minor regulatory requirements which have come into place over the years. “It is a game changer,” concedes Fox, “and it is clear that we have moved from a complex regulatory structure, that involves non-UCITS notice documents, and a dozen or so guidance notes and policy documents as well as an array of other ad hoc regulations towards it being brought into one handbook with appropriate chapters covering key market segments.”

According to the central bank, these changes will result in a more efficient and streamlined regulatory environment for all types of alternative investment funds in the country. “The timing of this consultation process will allow managers to establish AIFMD compliant funds in time for the implementation of the EU directive in July of next year,” explains Eoin Fitzgerald, managing director, Morgan Stanley Fund Services, and a member of IFIA Council, which leads industry engagement.

The central bank is proposing the redesign of its AIF regime to optimise its reliance on European regulatory requirements, or at least those set out in the AIFMD; the creation of a higher risk AIF option to UCITS for retail investors; the elimination of regulations on QIAIFs that are not substantially adding to the protection of investors as well as the application of the AIFMD depositary regime to all authorised AIFs, including those with AIFM below certain thresholds.

Changes to share class rules, the issuance of partly paid units and the removal of existing property fund rules will make it more attractive and easier to establish both private equity and property funds in Ireland. IFIA chief executive Pat Lardner explains that with 40% of the world’s hedge funds serviced in the country, “Ireland is the leading global centre for the domiciling and servicing of alternative investments.”

For more on this story, read the November edition of FTSE Global Markets, or visit the website: www.ftseglobalmarkets.com from Friday onwards.

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