Monday 27th April 2015
NEWS TICKER: FRIDAY, APRIL 24th 2015:Luc Luyet, CIIA – Senior Market Analyst AT Swissquote says that yesterday, “the SNB surprised the market by announcing that the number of sight deposit account holders that are exempt from negative interest has been reduced. This decision doesn’t change much the domestic banks’ situation as the “20 times the minimum reserve requirement” rule is still running. On the other side, the institutions associated with the Confederation, such as the pension fund of the Confederation or the pension fund of the SNB, are no longer exempt of negative interest. Consequently, only the account holders of the national social security system are still fully exempt.” - High yield debt issuance remains buoyant. Issuance volume for the week ending April 17, 2015, slowed down a bit from the previous week, but remained strong. Junk bond, or high-yield debt, issuers continued to issue bonds as yields remained favourable. High-yield debt is tracked by the SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF and the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund. According to data from S&P Capital IQ/LCD, dollar-denominated bonds amounting to $10.75bn were issued across 16 transactions in the week ending April 17th. The issuance volume fell by 3.2% from the week ending April 10. Pricing was evenly spread across the week. The number of transactions fell from 18 to 16 week-over-week. Last week brought the total US dollar issuance of high-yield debt to $115.8bn in 2015 YTD, up some 15% from the same period in 2014, the bulk of which is refinancing of older debt - Moody's says EMEA auto ABS performance remained stable during the three-month period ending February 2015. The sector's average performance trend was positive in terms of delinquency ratios and cumulative losses. The 60+ day delinquencies decreased to 0.66% in February 2015 from 0.77% in February 2014, while cumulative defaults decreased to 1.06% from 1.20% over the same period. This decrease was due mainly to the good performance of the German and Dutch markets. The prepayment rate increased slightly to 13.49% in February 2015 from 13.30% a year earlier. As of February 2015, the pool balance of all outstanding rated auto ABS transactions was €27.55bn - According to Sino specialists Red Pulse, China’s State Council is considering allowing daily repatriation for QFII. Currently, RQFII enjoys T+1 repatriation while QFII is restricted to T+5. QFII is the largest channel for foreign investment into China with quota of USD150bn, however, only half of the quota is in use, like at least partly due to the five-day repatriation stipulation - Malaysia’s state pension fund will offer a Shari’a-compliant investment option for its members by 2017, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said today. Najib says it will create the largest Shari’a fund of its kind in the world. Malaysia has one of the world’s largest Islamic finance sectors and the authorities are keen to develop it further. They envision the industry accounting for 40% of the country’s total banking assets by 2020 compared with latest figures of around 23% released last year. The $160bn (MYR577.4bn) Employees Provident Fund (EPF) already invests about a third of its portfolio in stocks and bonds that comply with Islamic principles, which ban interest payments and pure monetary speculation. The fund reportedly hired consultants last year to study the feasibility of a state-backed pension fund focusing entirely on Shari’a-compliant investments. Additionally, local press reports says that Malaysia’s sovereign wealth fund Khazanah Nasional has received regulatory approval to issue a MYR1billion (around $275m) socially responsible Islamic bond - The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share on the company's outstanding common stock, an increase of 67% from the prior $0.15 per share quarterly dividend. The dividend is payable on June 26TH 2015, to shareowners of record at the close of business on June 12TH 2015 - Lazard Ltd today reported operating revenue1 of $581m for the quarter ended March 31st. Adjusted net income was $103m, or $0.77 (diluted) per share for the quarter. These results exclude a pre-tax charge of $63m relating to a debt refinancing2. Q1 2015 net income on a U.S. GAAP basis, including the pre-tax charge, was $56m, or $0.42 (diluted) per share. "Our Financial Advisory and Asset Management businesses continue their strong performance," says Kenneth M. Jacobs, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Lazard. "In the first quarter, we refinanced and repaid a portion of Lazard's long-term debt, significantly reducing our interest costs," adds Matthieu Bucaille, chief financial officer of Lazard. "Consistent with our capital management objectives, we have increased the quarterly dividend by 17%, the fifth increase in as many years." -

Is trustee confidence in managing DB risks waning?

Monday, 23 July 2012
Is trustee confidence in managing DB risks waning? As Defined Benefit (DB) scheme sponsors and trustees in the UK work to put their schemes on a more stable footing amid continued market volatility trustees' confidence in their ability to successfully manage the DB risks facing their plans may be waning, according to MetLife Assurance Limited’s 2012 UK Pension Risk Behaviour IndexSM (UK PRBI).   http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

As Defined Benefit (DB) scheme sponsors and trustees in the UK work to put their schemes on a more stable footing amid continued market volatility trustees' confidence in their ability to successfully manage the DB risks facing their plans may be waning, according to MetLife Assurance Limited’s 2012 UK Pension Risk Behaviour IndexSM (UK PRBI).  

As Defined Benefit (DB) scheme sponsors and trustees in the UK work to put their schemes on a more stable footing amid continued market volatility, scheme trustees’ confidence in their ability to successfully manage the DB risks facing their plans may be waning, according to MetLife Assurance Limited’s 2012 UK Pension Risk Behaviour IndexSM (UK PRBI).   The study of 89 sponsors and trustees analysed how each group viewed 18 investment, liability and business risks that affect their pension schemes, and assessed how well they believed they were managing those risks.

The overall index value of the 2012 UK PRBI,which measures the importance that sponsors and trustees ascribe to each risk, their perceived success at managing each risk and the consistency between the two,remained consistent from 2011 to 2012 at 79 out of 100. However, the Index value for trustees fell another two points year-on-year to 78 in 2012 from 80 in 2011 and 82 in 2012. Conversely, the Index value for scheme sponsors is steadily rising, increasing by two points to 80, from 78 in 2011 and 75 in 2010. These movements, taken together, account for the overall 2012 Index value remaining level.



The drop in self-reported success at managing several key DB-related risks, including Scheme Governance and Inflation Risk, helps to partially explain the inverse relationship of the Index values between sponsors and trustees over the past three years.  In 2012, trustees rated their overall success at managing risks a 4 or 5 (out of a scale of 1-5, with 5 indicating success) 77% of the time, down from 80% in 2011 and 83% in 2010.

“Constant regulatory changes appear to undermine trustees’ confidence, as evidenced by the fall in the reported success of Scheme Governance and Inflation Risk.  Increasing levels of uncertainty being generated by issues such as Guaranteed Minimum Pension (GMP) Equalisation and Solvency II for pension schemes are impacting trustees’ confidence in managing some of the critical risks facing their schemes. Where once there was a degree of certainty, the revisiting of GMP Equalisation by the Department for Work and Pensions now requires that trustees again reconsider and tackle this issue,” holds Wayne Daniel, chief executive officer of MetLife Assurance Limited. 

Funding deficits is the most important risk facing scheme sponsors and trustees for the second year in a row, according to the 2012 UK PRBI. The ranking of Funding Deficits as the most important risk for the second year in a row reflects significant fluctuations in scheme assets and liabilities, mainly as a result of the volatility in equities and rising bond prices. At the same time, schemes may have also seen their liabilities grow due, in at least part, due to corporate bond and gilt yields, and continued uncertainty around the Eurozone.

Scheme sponsors and trustees continue to face unprecedented challenges on the economic and regulatory front. Volatile markets, driven in part by the Eurozone crisis, have demonstrated how quickly and significantly pension liabilities (and funding deficits) can change. "As a result, we expect sponsors and trustees to pay even greater attention to the connection between investment strategies and the risks that impact a scheme’s funding status. Additionally, scheme sponsors and trustees should consider incorporating triggers for de-risking the scheme in order to protect it.,” adds Daniel.

To ensure the viability of their schemes and safeguard members’ benefits, sponsors and trustees, says the report, are continuing to closely monitor the Employer Covenant. This risk ranked second among trustees for the second year in a row, and third among scheme sponsors.  Interestingly, the Importance Selection Rating, or the number of times the risk was selected by respondents when presented alongside other risk factors, for Employer Covenant is rising considerably among scheme sponsors: from 41% in 2011 to 49% in 2012. This may reflect the increased focus among scheme trustees on the Employer Covenant following The Pensions Regulator (TPR) guidance issued in November 2010.

The results of the 2012 UK PRBI demonstrate that scheme sponsors and trustees are continuing, and strengthening, their focus on a handful of key risks.  The overall Importance Rankings for the top four risks remained consistent from 2011 to 2012.

2012 vs. 2011 UK PRBI Overall Importance Ranking

RISK FACTOR                   

2012 RANKING

2011 RANKING

Funding Deficits

1

1

Employer Covenant

2

2

Asset and Liability Mismatch

3

3

Meeting Investment Return Targets

4

4

Measurement of Technical Provisions/Liabilities

5

7

In addition, the range between the Importance Selection Rates for the most important risk and least important risks this year is 66 percentage points, compared to 57 percentage points in 2011. This continues the trend established in the inaugural UK PRBI in 2010. 

Scheme sponsors and trustees continue to move toward a co-ordinated holistic approach to pension risk prioritisation, according to the 2012 UK PRBI. The importance rankings between trustees and sponsors are aligned within one or two ranking spots for all but one risk factor:  Asset Diversification. Trustees rank this fifth in importance whilst sponsors rank it 10th.

More details on the 2012 UK PRBI can be found at: www.metlifeassurance.co.uk/knowledge-centre/research

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