Monday 28th July 2014
slib33
FRIDAY ANALYSTS TICKER: July 25th 2014 - According to Adam Cordery, global head of European fixed income, Santander Asset Management, and fund manager for the Santander Euro Corporate Short Term and Euro Corporate bond funds, “Pricing of risk assets doesn’t offer much of a margin for error at the moment. And now Europe is starting to go on holiday, market liquidity may get poorer than normal, and any buys today may well have to be holds until September. It is always interesting to note what yields are required to attract clients to financial products. Twenty years ago, bond funds offering yields of 10%+ could generally attract lots of client interest very quickly. However as rates have come down over the years, so the yields clients demand have fallen. Now 4% seems to be the new 10%, he say. Cordery thinks that unfortunately, investors often want today the yield/risk mix that was available last year, so the products that get launched, sold and bought in size may be more risky than people think. “Products with 4% yield will sell well today, but to get to a 4% yield in Euro you need to invest in a portfolio with an average rating of single-B, and that is far from being risk-free. I get the impression the conventional wisdom today is to think that interest rates must surely go up soon and the main risk to bond portfolios is an increase in bund yields. Because of this many investors are buying short-duration products and floating rate notes, perhaps viewing them as a safe choice, almost like cash. It is possible however that these products may yet prove to have a considerable sensitivity to changes in credit market spreads and/or bond market liquidity, and may prove to be no protection at all.” - Commenting on the RBS share price jump, Dr Pete Hahn of Cass Business School, says “It's hard to tell whether the RBS share price jump today is more about relief or optimism. The former is about fewer fines, fewer losses on loans, and fewer costs in a shrinking business and possibly dividends for shareholders. And there's the rub, owning shares (as opposed to interest bearing debt) should be about optimism and long-term growth in dividends. But from a shrinking business? Few would argue that RBS' retail and corporate bank had efficiencies to be gained and cash flow that might be converted to dividends; yet like most banks, RBS' cost of equity remains stubbornly and appropriately above its ability to provide a return on that equity. For shareholders, current improvements should mean dividends in the medium term but a recognition that RBS may lack any merit for new investment and delivering any long-term dividend growth - not good. While many large retail banks are getting safer, in some aspects, and we often speak of them in terms of moving toward utility type models, banks take risks, are cyclical, face competition, have new business challengers, and are simply are not utilities. Investors shouldn't get ahead of themselves here.” - According to the monthly survey held by the central bank of Turkey, the country’s capacity utilization (CU) rate declined slightly to 74.9% in July from 75.3% in June. Meanwhile, seasonally adjusted (SA) CU also declined to 74.3% from 74.7% in June, writes Mehmet Besimoglu at Oyak Yatirim Research. As for manufacturing confidence, the index declined to 109 from 110.7 in May. On SA basis, the index also edged down slightly to 106.4 from 107.2. SA capacity utilisation was broadly stable in 1H14, averaging at 74.7%. This is the same level with the 2013 average. Despite the political turmoil and volatility in financial markets, activity has been relatively resilient. Export recovery & government spending supported production in 1H. Following the elections, public spending relatively decelerated. The turmoil in Iraq also decelerated export recovery from June. Nevertheless, we still expect 3.5% GDP growth in 2014, writes Besimoglu.

UC Rusal appoints Barry Cheung as new chairman

Friday, 16 March 2012
UC Rusal appoints Barry Cheung as new chairman The board of aluminium producer UC Rusal, has appointed Barry Cheung as chairman of the board with effect from  March 16th, replacing  Viktor Vekselberg who resigned earlier this week, having suggested the firm was in crisis and charging that management had over-burdened the firm with debt.  http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

The board of aluminium producer UC Rusal, has appointed Barry Cheung as chairman of the board with effect from  March 16th, replacing  Viktor Vekselberg who resigned earlier this week, having suggested the firm was in crisis and charging that management had over-burdened the firm with debt. 

Cheung, a non-executive director of the board since 2009, will have an expanded role in providing leadership and guidance for RUSAL’s growth strategy, especially in China and the rest of Asia.

The board of directors also ruled to conduct a comprehensive review of corporate governance with the results to be presented at the next board meeting in April 2012. Additionally, the firm wants to have one third of the board comprised of independent directors and will start a search for new INEDs with a help of an international executive search firm.

The question is whether Cheung's appointment will shore up the confidence of investors after this week's broadside by Vekselberg, who together with partner Len Blavatnkik owns 15.8% of the company. The company's market capitalisation has nearly halved since it floated in Hong Kong in early 2010, and its equity value barely exceeds its $11bn debt burden.

Cheung, is currently chairman of the Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange, Chairman of the Board of Hong Kong's Urban Renewal Authority, and the Standing Committee on Disciplined Services Salaries and Conditions of Service. He is also Alternate Chairman of the Pay Trend Survey Committee, a member of the Commission on Strategic Development and a member of the Standing Commission on Civil Service Salaries and Conditions of Service. 


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