Thursday 28th July 2016
NEWS TICKER: JULY 27TH 2016: The ESMA registers portal will undergo a technical update tomorrow. The machine-to-machine service will no longer support connections via SSL v1, SSL v2, SSL v3 and RC4 - All machine-to-machine services will be available via HTTPS only while HTTP connectivity will no longer be available. Full details are available on the portal itself – Twitter looked to have missed second-quarter revenue numbers and gave a gloomy outlook for growth in Q3. Q2 revenues of $602m and earnings per share of 13 cents disappointed analyst, who expected revenues of c.$607m, while EPS beat estimates of $0.10. Twitter says Q3 revenue will be somewhere between $590m and $610m. Twitter’s shares have dropped 20% year-to-date, and fell by more than 11% in after-hours trading after its results were announced. The firm says it believes advertising will migrate to video and explained that is why it secured streaming rights to NFL and NBA games in the US. Chief operating officer Adam Bain says, “There is a whole new set of video budgets out there today. These are these online video budgets. It’s about a $10bn marketplace in the US. These are video budgets that today we basically don’t qualify for, since the spend is going in other areas.” However, investors look to be wary of whether user growth (up only 1%) will meet expectations. The next benchmark report will be from Facebook (expected today), which analysts think will be strong. - Deutsche Bank AG reports that its second-quarter net income fell 98% from a year earlier, hurt by weaker performances in trading and investment banking, as well as restructuring costs. John Cryan, chief executive officer of the German bank, said that more needs to be done to control costs and that low interest rates will increasingly affect customers -- Verizon Communications has agreed to a $4.83bn cash deal for Yahoo's web assets as it looks to grow its digital media and advertising business - Apple reports a 15% drop in Q3 revenues because of falling iPhone sales, revenue and average selling price. Moreover, the firm’s market share of global smartphone shipments also fell off in Q1 by as much as 3 percentage points to 14.8% following a couple of years’ worth of impressive growth, particularly in China. Apple is meeting growing competition from Chinese smartphone vendors such as Huawei, Oppo and Xiaomi. Apple reported an overall decline in revenues of $7bn to $42.4bn in Q3, down 15% year on year, mostly due to a drop in iPhone shipments - The Catalan Parliament has voted 72-10 in favour of the conclusions of a pro-independence "constituent process" report today, a move that opposition parties, two of which abandoned the chamber in protest, described as "wholly illegal". MPs from the Popular Party in Catalonia (PPC) and Ciudadanos left the chamber in protest before the vote took place. Catalan Socialist Party (PSC) MPs remained seated but did not vote. The report, commissioned by separatist parties in the parliament, recommend measures that could lead to a unilateral declaration of independence. Earlier this month, the Spanish Constitutional Court warned the Catalan Parliament that its commission could not study "the opening of a constituent process in Catalonia that leads to the creation of a future Catalan constitution and an independent Catalan state". Esquerrra (ERC) leader Oriol Junqueras tweeted that "we have the democratic mandate to build a new country, clean and fair, and a mandate, for us, is a duty!" -- Jan Dehn, head of research at Ashmore, in a client note today made the case for allocating to emerging markets, even if uncertainties linger in developed markets. He suggests that whilet there are some risks involved, they are fairly priced, and insists that the fears pertaining to EM are misplaced. “Emerging Markets (EM) have performed a lot better this year than for some time. EM currencies are outperforming the Dollar and EM local bonds are up strongly year to date in Dollar terms. Despite the rally EM bonds still pay about 5-6 times higher yield than similar duration bonds in the US, while many other developed market bonds pay negative yields. The reasons for EM’s better performance are many, including better valuations, stronger technicals and improving relative and absolute fundamentals. As recently as last week, the IMF revised down developed market growth again, including -0.2% revisions of US and UK growth. China’s growth forecast was revised up.” -- The EBRD is considering extending a loan of up to $180m to RGP Kazvodkhoz (the "Company"), wholly owned by the Government of Kazakhstan, for rehabilitation of the water supply and irrigation infrastructure in South Kazakhstan, Zhambyl and Aktobe regions of Kazakhstan. The loan will be backed by a sovereign guarantee -- The unit of Royal Dutch Shell Plc plans to launch an IPO in October involving up to 330m primary and secondary shares (some 18.6% of the company’s shares) at up to P90 per share, with a listing on the Philippine Stock Exchange tentatively set for November 10th. The IPO is now awaiting regulatory approval and follows on from the recent$532m maiden issue by cement maker Cemex Holdings Philippines. Manila’s benchmark stock index touched a 15-month high last week, with investor confidence boosted by the country’s economic performance --

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US and Europe facing separate growth tracks, says OECD

Thursday, 29 March 2012
US and Europe facing separate growth tracks, says OECD Economic growth in the G7 countries is expected to be firmer through the first half of 2012, but the recovery remains fragile and will likely proceed at different speeds in North America and Europe, the OECD said in its latest interim economic assessment. The assessment, presented in Paris by OECD chief economist Pier Carlo Padoan, says the G7 economies are projected to grow by 1.9%  in both the first and second quarters of 2012, although a strong variance in outcomes is expected across this group of countries. http://www.ftseglobalmarkets.com/

Economic growth in the G7 countries is expected to be firmer through the first half of 2012, but the recovery remains fragile and will likely proceed at different speeds in North America and Europe, the OECD said in its latest interim economic assessment. The assessment, presented in Paris by OECD chief economist Pier Carlo Padoan, says the G7 economies are projected to grow by 1.9%  in both the first and second quarters of 2012, although a strong variance in outcomes is expected across this group of countries.

“Our forecast for the first half of 2012 points to robust growth in the United States and Canada, but much weaker activity in Europe, where the outlook remains fragile,” says Padoan. “We may have stepped back from the edge of the cliff, but there’s still no room for complacency,” he adds.



 

In the United States, the ongoing rebound in employment, stronger consumer confidence, higher equity prices and credit growth are underpinning the recovery, with growth projected at 2.9%  in the first quarter and 2.8% in the second. Canada is projected to grow by 2.5% during each of the first two quarters

 

The optimistic view on North America contrasts with the much more fragile outlook in Europe, where weak consumer confidence, climbing unemployment and tight credit all point to further  falls in activity.

 

The OECD projects that the euro area’s three largest economies—Germany, France and Italy—will shrink by 0.4% on average during the first quarter, before a moderate 0.9% growth recovery in the second quarter.

 

Seen individually, the German economy is expected to accelerate through the first half of the year, with growth of 0.1% in the first quarter and 1.5% in the second. The French outlook is more muted, with a -0.2 percent reduction in the first quarter followed by 0.9%  growth in the second. In Italy, weak industrial production and household sentiment suggest recession for the first two quarters of the year, but the most recent indicators have been more positive, resulting in slightly better projected growth for the second quarter, the OECD says.

 

In the United Kingdom, the economy is expected to contract by 0.4% and grow by 0.5% in the second quarter.

 

Growth in Japan is projected to rebound strongly in the first quarter to 3.4%, before easing to 1.4%  in the second quarter. A number of factors threaten the recovery, including rising oil prices, weakening activity in emerging market economies, notably China, and a slowdown in world trade growth that reflects weakening global demand. “Government action will continue to be critical, particularly in the euro area, where unfinished policy business on fiscal frameworks, financial firewalls and fundamental structural reforms must move ahead,” Padoan adds.

 

Economic growth in the G7 countries is expected to be firmer through the first half of 2012, but the recovery remains fragile and will likely proceed at different speeds in North America and Europe, the OECD said in its latest Interim Economic Assessment.

The Assessment, presented in Paris by Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan, says the G7 economies are projected to grow by 1.9 percent in both the first and second quarters of 2012, although a strong variance in outcomes is expected across this group of countries. (
See the Chief Economist’s presentation)

“Our forecast for the first half of 2012 points to robust growth in the United States and Canada, but much weaker activity in Europe, where the outlook remains fragile,” Mr Padoan said. “We may have stepped back from the edge of the cliff, but there’s still no room for complacency.”
In the United States, the ongoing rebound in employment, stronger consumer confidence, higher equity prices and credit growth are underpinning the recovery, with growth projected at 2.9 percent in the first quarter and 2.8 percent in the second. Canada is projected to grow by 2.5 percent during each of the first two quarters
http://mcmbo1.oecd.org/vgn/images/portal/cit_731/13/63/50008626unemployment.PNG
 
The optimistic view on North America contrasts with the much more fragile outlook in Europe, where weak consumer confidence, climbing unemployment and tight credit all point to further     falls in activity. The OECD projects that the euro area’s three largest economies -  Germany, France and Italy - will shrink by 0.4 percent on average during the first quarter, before a moderate 0.9 percent growth recovery in the second quarter.

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